Pre-election pendulum for the 2015 New South Wales state election

The Mackerras pendulum for the 2015 New South Wales state election.

Legislative Assembly

Pendulum

Liberal/National seats Marginal East Hills Glenn Brookes LIB0.2 points Swansea Garry Edwards LIB0.3 points Prospect Andrew Rohan LIB1.1 points Macquarie FieldsAndrew McDonald (ALP) LIB1.8 points Monaro John Barilaro NAT2.0 points Rockdale John Flowers LIB3.6 points Granville Tony Issa LIB3.8 points Oatley Mark Coure LIB3.8 points Wyong Darren Webber LIB4.6 points Maitland Robyn Parker LIB4.9 points Londonderry Bart Bassett LIB5.3 points Blue Mountains Roza Sage LIB5.4 points Fairly safe Strathfield Charles Casuscelli LIB6.4 points Campbelltown Bryan Doyle LIB6.8 points Tamworth Kevin Anderson NAT v IND6.8 points Coogee Bruce Notley-Smith LIB8.3 points Kiama Gareth Ward LIB8.6 points Seven HillsNathan Rees (ALP) LIB8.8 points Safe Holsworthy Melanie Gibbons LIB10.7 points The Entrance Chris Spence LIB11.5 points Gosford Chris Holstein LIB11.9 points Mulgoa Tanya Davies LIB12.4 points Parramatta Geoff Lee LIB12.5 points Port Stephens Craig Baumann LIB14.7 points Clarence Chris Gulaptis NAT15.1 points Penrith Stuart Ayres LIB16.1 points Drummoyne John Sidoti LIB17.1 points Ballina Don Page NAT v GRN17.8 points Upper Hunter George Souris NAT v IND18.3 points Bega Andrew Constance LIB18.5 points Heathcote Lee Evans LIB19.0 points Very safe Riverstone Kevin Conolly LIB20.2 points Lismore Thomas George NAT v GRN20.2 points South Coast Shelley Hancock LIB20.4 points Wollondilly Jai Rowell LIB21.6 pointsTweedGeoff ProvestNAT21.7 pointsOrangeAndrew GeeNAT v IND21.9 pointsCamdenChris PattersonLIB 22.8 pointsNorth ShoreJillian SkinnerLIB v GRN23.2 pointsBathurstPaul TooleNAT23.7 pointsTerrigalChris HartcherLIB 24.2 pointsMyall LakesStephen BromheadNAT v IND24.9 pointsEppingGreg SmithLIB25.2 pointsCronullaMark SpeakmanLIB25.6 pointsLane CoveAnthony RobertsLIB v GRN25.7 pointsRydeVictor DominelloLIB25.7 pointsVaucluseGabrielle UptonLIB v GRN26.1 pointsBaulkham HillsDavid ElliottLIB26.4 pointsHornsbyMatt KeanLIB26.5 pointsGoulburnPru GowardLIB26.6 pointsAlburyGreg AplinLIB26.9 pointsManlyMike BairdLIB v GRN27.0 pointsCoffs HarbourAndrew FraserNAT27.2 pointsMurray-DarlingJohn WilliamsNAT27.2 pointsWagga WaggaDaryl MaguireLIB 27.8 pointsPittwaterRob StokesLIB v GRN28.0 pointsWilloughbyGladys BerejiklianLIB v GRN28.1 pointsWakehurstBrad HazzardLIB v GRN28.5 pointsPort MacquarieLeslie WilliamsNAT28.8 pointsOxleyAndrew StonerNAT v GRN28.8 pointsCootamundraKatrina HodgkinsonNAT30.3 pointsCastle HillDominic PerrottetLIB30.8 pointsNorthern TablelandsAdam MarshallNAT31.0 pointsDubboTroy GrantNAT31.3 pointsKu-ring-gaiBarry O'FarrellLIB v GRN31.3 pointsBarwonKevin HumphriesNAT 32.0 pointsDavidsonJonathan O'DeaLIB v GRN33.4 pointsHawkesburyRay WilliamsLIB34.7 points Labor seatsMarginalMarrickvilleCarmel TebbuttALP v GRN0.9 pointsWollongongNoreen HayALP v IND1.0 pointsMaroubraMichael DaleyALP1.6 pointsFairfieldGuy ZangariALP1.7 pointsKogarahCherie BurtonALP1.9 pointsCabramattaNick LalichALP2.1 pointsBlacktownJohn RobertsonALP3.7 pointsKeiraRyan ParkALP3.9 pointsCessnockClayton BarrALP 4.4 pointsMirandaBarry CollierALP5.2 pointsFairly safe WallsendSonia HorneryALP6.6 pointsMount DruittRichard AmeryALP6.7 pointsLakembaRobert FuroloALP7.0 pointsCanterburyLinda BurneyALP8.3 pointsAuburnBarbara PerryALP8.5 points ShellharbourAnna WatsonALP8.6 points NewcastleTim CrakanthorpALP8.7 points SafeBankstownTania MihailukALP10.3 pointsLiverpoolPaul LynchALP14.7 pointsHeffronRon HoenigALP v GRN20.0 pointsCharlestownJodie HarrisonALP v GRN20.6 points SafeIndependent & other seats BalmainJamie ParkerGRN v LIB3.5 pointsNewtownNewly created electorateGRN v ALP4.4 pointsSydneyAlex GreenwichIND v LIB13.7 pointsLake MacquarieGreg PiperIND v LIB14.9 points

Member for Clarence, Steve Cansdell, resigned on 16 September 2011. He was succeeded by Chris Gulaptis at the 2011 Clarence state by-election. Member for Heffron, Kristina Keneally, resigned on 29 June 2012. She was succeeded by Ron Hoenig at the 2012 Heffron state by-election. Member for Sydney, Clover Moore, was forced to resign on 20 September 2012. She was succeeded by Alex Greenwich at the 2012 Sydney state by-election. Member for Northern Tablelands, Richard Torbay, resigned on 20 March 2013. He was succeeded by Adam Marshall at the 2013 Northern Tablelands state by-election. Member for Miranda, Graham Annesley, resigned on 28 August 2013. He was succeeded by Barry Collier at the 2013 Miranda state by-election. Member for Wyong, Darren Webber, Member for The Entrance, Chris Spence and Member for Terrigal, Chris Hartcher were suspended for the Liberal Party due to investigations undertaken by the ICAC Member for Charlestown, Andrew Cornwell, resigned with immediate effect in August 2014. He was succeeded by Jodie Harrison at the 2014 Charlestown state by-election. As a result of a redistribution, the ALP-held seat of Macquarie Fields becomes notionally Liberal. ALP-held Toongabbie is replaced by the notionally Liberal electorate of Seven Hills.

Legislative Council

Current balance

Party Seats held Current 42-seat Council 2011 Now Labor Party 14 14                                           Liberal Party 12 10                                           National Party 7 7                                           The Greens 5 5                                           Shooters and Fishers Party 2 2                                           Christian Democratic Party 2 2                                           Independents 0 2                                          

References