The 2016 United States Senate election in Missouri was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Missouri. It was held concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 2.

Incumbent Republican Senator Roy Blunt won re-election to a second term in office, defeating Democratic Missouri Secretary of State Jason Kander. Despite losing, Kander's margin of defeat was 15.7 percentage points closer than that of Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton in the concurrent presidential election in the state. This was also the closest a Democrat had come to winning this seat since 1980.

Republican primary Despite being considered an "establishment" Republican, Blunt did not face serious Tea Party opposition due to his efforts to cultivate relationships with activists in Missouri, his effectiveness at "threading the needle" by keeping conservative and establishment Republicans fairly satisfied, and the open gubernatorial election, which attracted the most attention from Republicans.

Candidates Declared Roy Blunt, incumbent senator since 2011 Ryan Luethy, financial services worker Bernie Mowinski, retired Army sergeant and perennial candidate Kristi Nichols, sales manager, Tea Party activist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010

Withdrew Christopher Batsche, businessman (running for MO-07)

Declined Todd Akin, former U.S. representative from 2001 to 2013 and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012 John Brunner, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012 (running for governor) John Lamping, former state senator

Endorsements

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror RoyBlunt KristiNichols BernieMowinski RyanLuethy UndecidedSt. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-DixonSt. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–27, 2016 400 ± 5.0% 66% 9% 5% 1% 19%

Poll source RoyBlunt JohnBrunner Other UndecidedRemington Research GroupRemington Research Group January 2015 1,355 ± ? 60% 40% — —Remington Research GroupRemington Research Group February 2–3, 2015 747 3.6% 50% 19% — 32%

Results

Democratic primary Candidates Declared Cori Bush, pastor, nurse and co-director of the Truth Telling Project Jason Kander, secretary of state of Missouri since 2013 Robert Mack, military veteran Chief Wana Dubie, marijuana activist

Declined Jay Nixon, Governor of Missouri since 2009 Mike Sanders, Jackson County executive, former Jackson County prosecuting attorney and former chairman of the Missouri Democratic Party Clint Zweifel, state treasurer of Missouri since 2009

Endorsements

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JasonKander CoriBush RobertMack ChiefWana Dubie UndecidedSt. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–27, 2016 400 ± 5.0% 67% 7% 4% 2% 20%

Results

Third party and independent candidates Libertarian primary Candidates Declared Jonathan Dine, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2012 Herschel Young

Results

Constitution primary Candidates Declared Fred Ryman

Results

Green Party Candidates Declared Johnathan McFarland

Write-in Gina Bufe Patrick Lee

General election Debates DateHostModeratorLink(s)ParticipantsKey: Participant  Absent  Non-invitee  Invitee WithdrawnRoyBluntJonathanDineJasonKanderJonathanMcFarlandFredRymanSeptember 30, 2016Associated PressDavid LiebVideo

Predictions Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report November 2, 2016 Sabato's Crystal Ball November 7, 2016 Rothenberg Political Report November 3, 2016 Daily Kos November 8, 2016 Real Clear Politics November 7, 2016

Polling

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror RoyBlunt (R) JasonKander (D) Other UndecidedSurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 1,368 ± 4.6% 44% 51% — 5%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 31 – November 6, 2016 1,119 ± 4.6% 43% 51% — 6%Emerson CollegeEmerson College November 4–5, 2016 750 ± 3.5% 45% 46% 5% 4%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 28 – November 3, 2016 879 ± 4.6% 45% 51% — 4%Clarity Campaign LabsClarity Campaign Labs November 1–2, 2016 1,036 ± 3.1% 47% 45% — 8%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 27 – November 2, 2016 774 ± 4.6% 45% 51% — 4%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling October 31 – November 1, 2016 1,083 ± 3.0% 46% 44% — 9%Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R)Missouri Times/Remington Research Group (R) October 31 – November 1, 2016 1,722 ± 2.4% 48% 44% 3%Jonathan Dine (L), Fred Ryman (C), and "Others" each with 1% 5%DFM ResearchDFM Research October 27 – November 1, 2016 508 ± 4.4% 41% 41% 9% 9%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 26 – November 1, 2016 649 ± 4.6% 46% 50% — 4%Emerson CollegeEmerson College October 28–31, 2016 650 ± 3.8% 45% 45% 6% 4%Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University October 28–31, 2016 405 ± 4.9% 47% 46% 3% 5%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 671 ± 4.6% 45% 51% — 4%Missouri Scout/BK Strategies (R)Missouri Scout/BK Strategies (R) October 27–28, 2016 1,698 ± 2.4% 47% 44% 4%"Others" with 3% and Fred Ryman (C) with 1% 5%St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-DixonSt. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon October 24–26, 2016 625 ± 4.0% 47% 46% 2% 5%Emerson CollegeEmerson College October 17–19, 2016 600 ± 3.9% 44% 44% 4% 8%Google Consumer SurveysGoogle Consumer Surveys October 12–14, 2016 521 ± 4.2% 45% 52% — 3%Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University October 9–11, 2016 406 ± 4.9% 46% 44% 3%Jonathan Dine (L) with 3% 7%Emerson CollegeEmerson College September 9–13, 2016 600 ± 3.6% 40% 42% 10% 8%Missouri Scout/Remington Research Group (R)Missouri Scout/Remington Research Group (R) September 1–2, 2016 1,275 ± 3.0% 47% 40% — 13%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling August 26–27, 2016 1,055 ± 3.0% 47% 43% — 10%Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University August 19–22, 2016 401 ± 4.9% 48% 43% 3% 7%Remington Research Group (R)Remington Research Group (R) August 5–6, 2016 1,280 ± 3.0% 47% 40% 6%Jonathan Dine (L) with 4% and Fred Ryman (C) with 2% 7%St. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-DixonSt. Louis Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon July 23–24, 2016 625 ± 4.0% 47% 43% — 10%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling July 11–12, 2016 959 ± 3.2% 41% 38% — 21%Missouri Scout/Remington Research Group (R)Missouri Scout/Remington Research Group (R) March 25–26, 2016 927 ± 3.2% 44% 37% — 19%DFM ResearchDFM Research March 17–24, 2016 674 ± 3.8% 49% 35% 2% 14%Missouri Scout/Remington Research Group (R)Missouri Scout/Remington Research Group (R) October 30–31, 2015 783 ± 3.5% 43% 33% — 23%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling August 7–9, 2015 859 ± 3.3% 40% 35% — 25%Remington Research Group (R)Remington Research Group (R) February 19, 2015 957 ± 3.2% 49% 36% — 14%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic Boone (largest city: Columbia) Clay (largest city: Kansas City) Platte (largest city: Kansas City)

By congressional district Blunt won six of eight congressional districts. District Blunt Kander Representative 17% 79%Lacy Clay 48.3% 48.2%Ann Wagner 55% 40%Blaine Luetkemeyer 56% 39%Vicky Hartzler 34% 61%Emanuel Cleaver 54% 41%Sam Graves 64% 32%Billy Long 63% 33%Jason Smith

See also United States Senate elections, 2016

Notes

References

External links Official campaign websites Roy Blunt (R) for Senate Jason Kander (D) for Senate Fred Ryman (C) for Senate