2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona

The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state of Arizona, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts, with Democratic and Republican primaries taking place on August 26. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including governor of Arizona.

Overview The table below shows the total number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost by each political party in the election for the United States House of Representatives in Arizona. In addition, the voter turnout and the number of votes not valid are listed below.

Statewide PartyCandidatesVotesSeats %+/– %Republican9817,16855.685 155.56Democratic8577,94339.384 144.44Americans Elect244,9243.0600.0Libertarian323,7671.6200.0Write-in73,8010.2600.0Total281,467,603100.09100.0

By district Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona by district:

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %District 1 87,723 47.39% 97,391 52.61% 0 0.00% 185,114 100.0% Democratic holdDistrict 2 109,704 50.01% 109,543 49.94% 104 0.05% 219,351 100.0% Republican gainDistrict 3 46,185 44.23% 58,192 55.72% 51 0.05% 104,428 100.0% Democratic holdDistrict 4 122,560 69.96% 45,179 25.79% 7,440 4.25% 175,179 100.0% Republican holdDistrict 5 124,867 69.58% 54,596 30.42% 0 0.00% 179,463 100.0% Republican holdDistrict 6 129,578 64.86% 70,198 35.14% 0 0.00% 199,776 100.0% Republican holdDistrict 7 129 0.18% 54,235 74.85% 18,090 24.97% 72,454 100.0% Democratic holdDistrict 8 128,710 75.81% 0 0.00% 41,066 24.19% 169,776 100.0% Republican holdDistrict 9 67,841 41.86% 88,609 54.68% 5,612 3.46% 162,062 100.0% Democratic holdTotal 817,168 55.68% 577,943 39.38% 72,492 4.94% 1,467,603 100.0%

District 1

Incumbent Democrat Ann Kirkpatrick, who won election to the House of Representatives in 2012, ran for re-election. She had previously served in this district from 2007 to 2009.

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Ann Kirkpatrick, incumbent U.S. representative

Results

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Andy Tobin, state house Speaker

Eliminated in primary Gary Kiehne, rancher Adam Kwasman, state representative

Declined Paul Babeu, Pinal County sheriff and candidate for the 4th district in 2012

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror GaryKiehne AdamKwasman AndyTobin UndecidedRemingtonRemington August 17–19, 2014 420 ± 4.8% 21% 29% 30% 20%

Debate + 2014 Arizona's 1st congressional district republican primary debate Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican RepublicanKey: Participant  Absent  Not invited  Invited Withdrawn Gary Kiehne Adam Kwasman Andy Tobin1 Jun. 8, 2014 Arizona PBS Ted Simons PBS

Results

General election Debate + 2014 Arizona's 1st congressional district debate Date Host Moderator Link Democratic RepublicanKey: Participant  Absent  Not invited  Invited Withdrawn Ann Kirkpatrick Andy Tobin1 Sep. 23, 2014 Arizona PBS Ted Simons PBS

Endorsements

Polling Poll sourceDate(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror AnnKirkpatrick (D) AndyTobin (R) UndecidedNew York Times/CBS News Battleground TrackerNew York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker October 16–23, 2014 357 ± 12.0% 47% 47% 7%North Star (R-Tobin) September 16–18, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 42% 48% 10%Tarrance Group (R-Tobin)Tarrance Group (R-Tobin) September 2–4, 2014 405 ± 4.9% 43% 51% 6%

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014 Rothenberg October 24, 2014 Sabato's Crystal Ball October 30, 2014RCP November 2, 2014Daily Kos Elections November 4, 2014

Results

District 2

Democrat Ron Barber, who was elected to a full term in the House of Representatives in 2012, ran for re-election.

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Ron Barber, incumbent U.S. representative

Results

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Martha McSally, retired U.S. Air Force colonel, candidate for the 8th District in 2012 (special) and nominee for this seat in 2012

Eliminated in primary Shelley Kais, small business owner Chuck Wooten, business development consultant

Results

General election Endorsements

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror RonBarber (D) MarthaMcSally (R) UndecidedPMI/RRH October 21–23, 2014 554 ± 4.0% 48% 46% 5%New York Times/CBS News Battleground Tracker October 16–23, 2014 621 ± 6.0% 45% 44% 10%Normington Petts (D-Barber)Normington Petts (D-Barber) June 8–10, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 45% 37% 18%On Message Inc. (R-McSally) April 14–16, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 42% 45% 9%On Message Inc. (R-McSally) June 17–18, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 46% 45% 9%

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014 Rothenberg October 24, 2014 Sabato's Crystal Ball October 30, 2014RCP November 2, 2014Daily Kos Elections November 4, 2014

Results As the election margin was less than 1% in favor of McSally, a recount began on December 3, 2014. McSally won the recount by 161 votes.Recount starts today in McSally vs. Barber race, Arizona Daily Star, December 3, 2014. Retrieved 8 December 2014. This was the closest House race in 2014.

District 3

Democrat Raúl Grijalva, who had represented the district since 2002, ran for re-election.

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Raúl Grijalva, incumbent U.S. representative

Results

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Gabriela Saucedo Mercer, conservative activist and nominee for this seat in 2012

Results

Libertarian primary Candidates Withdrawn Miguel Olivas

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014 Rothenberg October 24, 2014 Sabato's Crystal Ball October 30, 2014RCP November 2, 2014Daily Kos Elections November 4, 2014

Endorsements

Results

District 4

Republican Paul Gosar, who had represented the district since 2010, ran for re-election.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Paul Gosar, incumbent U.S. representative

Withdrawn Kristopher Mortensen

Results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Mikel Weisser, author, political activist and candidate for this seat in 2012

Results

Libertarian primary Candidates Nominee Chris Rike

Results

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014 Rothenberg October 24, 2014 Sabato's Crystal Ball October 30, 2014RCP November 2, 2014Daily Kos Elections November 4, 2014

Endorsements

Results

District 5

Republican Matt Salmon, who had represented the district since 2012, ran for re-election. He had previously served from 1995 to 2001.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Matt Salmon, incumbent U.S. representative

Results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee James Woods

Results

General election Campaign Woods was looking to make history as the first openly atheist candidate to be elected to the U.S. Congress (former California Congressman Pete Stark, who served from 1973 to 2013, is an atheist but did not reveal this until 2007; former Massachusetts Congressman Barney Frank revealed that he was an atheist after he left office).

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014 Rothenberg October 24, 2014 Sabato's Crystal Ball October 30, 2014RCP November 2, 2014Daily Kos Elections November 4, 2014

Endorsements

Results

District 6

Republican David Schweikert, who had represented the district since 2010, ran for re-election.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee David Schweikert, incumbent U.S. representative

Results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee W. John Williamson, candidate for this seat in 2012

Results

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014 Rothenberg October 24, 2014 Sabato's Crystal Ball October 30, 2014RCP November 2, 2014Daily Kos Elections November 4, 2014

Endorsements

Results

District 7

The 7th district is heavily Hispanic. It is located primarily in Phoenix, and includes portions of Glendale and the town of Guadalupe. The incumbent was Democrat Ed Pastor, who had represented the district since 2013, and previously represented the 4th district from 2003 to 2013 and the 2nd district from 1991 to 2013. He was re-elected with 82% of the vote in 2012 and the district has a PVI of D+16. Pastor did not run for re-election.

Democratic primary Pastor's retirement presented a "once- or twice-in-a-lifetime opportunity" for an open safe Democratic seat in Arizona and was predicted to set off a "free-for-all" in the primary that could "eclipse" the 10-candidate primary for retiring Congressman John Shadegg's seat in 2010. Because of this and Arizona's "resign-to-run" law, political consultant Mario Diaz predicted a "domino effect, from federal (offices) all the way down to city (councils)."

Candidates Nominee Ruben Gallego, former state representative

Eliminated in primary Randy Camacho Jarrett Maupin, pastor and activist Johnnie Robinson Mary Rose Wilcox, Maricopa County Supervisor

Withdrawn Steve Gallardo, state senator (running for Wilcox's place on the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors)

Disqualified Cesar Chavez, formerly Scott Fistler, Republican write-in candidate for this seat in 2012 and candidate for Phoenix City Council in 2013

Declined Chad Campbell, Minority Leader of the Arizona House of Representatives Ronnie Cho, former associate director of the White House Office of Public Engagement and Intergovernmental Affairs Phil Gordon, former mayor of Phoenix Catherine Miranda, state representative Michael Nowakowski, Phoenix City Councilman Ed Pastor, incumbent U.S. representative Laura Pastor, Phoenix City Councilwoman and daughter of Ed Pastor Marie Lopez Rogers, mayor of Avondale Kyrsten Sinema, U.S. representative (running for re-election in the 9th district) Greg Stanton, mayor of Phoenix Anna Tovar, Minority Leader of the Arizona Senate Daniel Valenzuela, Phoenix City Councilman

Endorsements

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror RubenGallego Mary RoseWilcox Other UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling July 22–24, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 41% 31% — 27%Lake Research (D-Gallego)Lake Research (D-Gallego) July 20–22, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 32% 24% 6% 38%Lake Research (D-Gallego)Lake Research (D-Gallego) May 20–22, 2014 401 ± 4.9% 38% 32% — 29%

Debate + 2014 Arizona's 7th congressional district democratic primary debate Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Democratic Democratic DemocraticKey: Participant  Absent  Not invited  Invited Withdrawn Randy Camacho Ruben Gallego Jarrett Maupin Mary Rose Wilcox1 Jul. 16, 2014 Arizona PBS Ted Simons PBS

Results

Republican primary Candidates Withdrawn Brianna Wasserman

Results

Libertarian primary Candidates Nominee Joe Cobb, retired economist and nominee for this seat in 2008, 2010 & 2012

Withdrawn Ted Rogers

Results

Americans Elect primary Candidates Nominee Rebecca DeWitt, accountant, Green nominee for this seat in 2008 & 2010 and Democratic candidate for this seat in 2012

Withdrawn Ted Rogers

Results

General election Debate + 2014 Arizona's 7th congressional district debate Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Libertarian IndependentKey: Participant  Absent  Not invited  Invited Withdrawn Ruben Gallego Joe Cobb José Peñalosa1 Oct. 7, 2014 Arizona PBS Ted Simons PBS

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014 Rothenberg October 24, 2014 Sabato's Crystal Ball October 30, 2014RCP November 2, 2014Daily Kos Elections November 4, 2014

Endorsements

Results

District 8

Republican Trent Franks, who had represented the district since 2002, ran for re-election.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Trent Franks, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary Clair Van Steenwyk, radio host

Results

Democratic primary No Democrat filed to run.

Americans Elect primary Candidates Nominee