2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

The 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on Tuesday, November 4, 2014, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including governor of New Hampshire and U.S. senator. This election marked the first time since 1992 that New Hampshire elected members of two parties into the House of Representatives, and is to date the only time since 2010 that Republicans won any congressional election in New Hampshire.

Overview Results of the 2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire by district:

DistrictDemocraticRepublicanOthersTotalResult Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %District 1 116,769 48.11% 125,508 51.71% 459 0.19% 242,736 100.0% Republican gainDistrict 2 130,700 55.54% 106,871 42.18% 613 2.27% 238,184 100.0% Democratic holdTotal 247,469 51.46% 232,379 48.32% 1,072 0.22% 480,920 100.0%

District 1

The 1st district covers the southeastern part of the state and consists of three general areas: Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. The incumbent Democrat Carol Shea-Porter, who has represented the district since 2013 and previously from 2007 to 2011, ran for re-election. She was elected with 50% of the vote in 2012, defeating Republican incumbent Frank Guinta, and the district has a PVI of R+1.

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Carol Shea-Porter, incumbent U.S. Representative

Results

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Frank Guinta, former U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary Daniel Innis, Dean of the Peter T. Paul College of Business and Economics at the University of New Hampshire Everett Jabour, trucking executive Brendan Kelly, former Seabrook Selectman, former chairman of the Libertarian Party of New Hampshire, and Libertarian nominee for this seat in 2012

Declined Jeb Bradley, Majority Leader of the New Hampshire Senate and former U.S. Representative John Cebrowski, state representative Christopher Sununu, Executive Councillor (running for re-election) Pam Tucker, state representative

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror JeffChidester FrankGuinta DanInnis UndecidedNew England CollegeNew England College October 7–9, 2013 409 ± 4.8% 7% 54% 6% 33%

Results

General election Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror CarolShea-Porter (D) FrankGuinta (R) Other UndecidedWMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH October 29–November 2, 2014 405 ± 4.9% 47% 47% 1% 6%New England CollegeNew England College October 31–November 1, 2014 778 ± 3.51% 43% 52% 2% 3%WMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH October 22–26, 2014 261 ± 6.1% 44% 40% 1% 15%New England CollegeNew England College October 24, 2014 556 ± 4.16% 43% 49% 4% 4%New England CollegeNew England College October 16, 2014 461 ± 4.56% 46% 47% 3% 3%UMass AmherstUMass Amherst October 10–15, 2014 160 LV – 54% 37% 3% 6% 197 RV – 50% 38% 3% 9%New England CollegeNew England College October 9, 2014 536 ± 4.23% 44% 46% 6% 5%WMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH September 29–October 5, 2014 258 ± 6.1% 42% 39% 3% 16%New England CollegeNew England College October 3, 2014 626 ± 3.92% 47% 44% 5% 4%New England CollegeNew England College September 26, 2014 629 ± 3.91% 41% 51% 4% 4%New England CollegeNew England College September 19–20, 2014 715 ± 3.66% 45% 45% 6% 4%New England CollegeNew England College September 10–11, 2014 607 ± 3.98% 46% 42% 6% 6%Normington PettsNormington Petts September 3–7, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 45% 43% — 12%WMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH August 7–17, 2014 297 ± 5.7% 41% 45% — 14%WMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH June 19–July 1, 2014 263 ± 6% 43% 46% 2% 10%WMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH April 1–9, 2014 259 ± 6.1% 44% 35% 0% 21%WMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH January 21–26, 2014 304 ± 5.6% 39% 45% 2% 15%WMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH October 7–16, 2013 330 ± 5.4% 48% 32% 1% 18%New England College October 7–9, 2013 882 ± 3.29% 43% 42% — 15%

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror CarolShea-Porter (D) DanInnis (R) Other UndecidedWMUR/UNH August 7–17, 2014 297 ± 5.7% 44% 37% 1% 18%WMUR/UNH June 19–July 1, 2014 263 ± 6% 45% 38% 1% 16%WMUR/UNH April 1–9, 2014 259 ± 6.1% 45% 29% 0% 25%WMUR/UNH January 21–26, 2014 304 ± 5.6% 43% 33% 2% 23%WMUR/UNH October 7–16, 2013 330 ± 5.4% 43% 32% 0% 25%

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014 Rothenberg October 24, 2014 Sabato's Crystal Ball October 30, 2014RCP November 2, 2014Daily Kos Elections November 4, 2014

Results

District 2

The 2nd district covers the western and northern parts of the state and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. The incumbent Democrat Ann McLane Kuster, who has represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. She was elected with 50% of the vote in 2012, defeating Republican incumbent Charles Bass, and the district has a PVI of D+3.

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Ann McLane Kuster, incumbent U.S. Representative

Results

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Marilinda Garcia, state representative

Eliminated in primary Gary Lambert, former state senator Jim Lawrence, former state representative Mike Little, former Concord City Councilor

Declined Andrew Hemingway, businessman, Tea Party activist and candidate for chairman of the New Hampshire Republican State Committee in 2013 (running for Governor) William L. O'Brien, former Speaker of the New Hampshire House of Representatives Christopher Sununu, Executive Councillor (running for re-election)

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror MarilindaGarcia GaryLambert JimLawrence MikeLittle UndecidedMagellan StrategiesMagellan Strategies July 29–30, 2014 800 ± 3.44% 36% 13% 2% 4% 45%

Results

General election Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror Ann McLaneKuster (D) MarilindaGarcia (R) Other UndecidedWMUR/UNH October 29–November 2, 2014 352 ± 5.2% 49% 38% 1% 12%New England College October 31–November 1, 2014 748 ± 3.58% 53% 42% 3% 2%WMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH October 22–26, 2014 295 ± 5.7% 53% 30% 1% 16%New England College October 24, 2014 576 ± 4.08% 49% 42% 4% 5%New England College October 16, 2014 460 ± 4.57% 49% 43% 4% 4%UMass Amherst October 10–15, 2014 162 LV ± ? 43% 48% 4% 5% 198 RV ± ? 45% 43% 4% 8%New England College October 9, 2014 545 ± 4.2% 46% 43% 7% 5%WMUR/UNH September 29–October 5, 2014 275 ± 5.9% 37% 41% 3% 19%New England College October 3, 2014 660 ± 3.81% 50% 38% 6% 5%New England College September 26, 2014 702 ± 3.7% 50% 39% 5% 6%New England College September 19–20, 2014 779 ± 3.51% 49% 38% 7% 6%New England College September 10–11, 2014 627 ± 3.98% 50% 37% 6% 8%Normington Petts September 3–7, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 44% 38% — 18%WMUR/UNH August 7–17, 2014 312 ± 5.5% 39% 36% 1% 25%WMUR/UNH June 19–July 1, 2014 246 ± 6.2% 49% 35% 1% 15%WMUR/UNH April 1–9, 2014 248 ± 6.2% 34% 33% 1% 32%WMUR/UNH January 21–26, 2014 280 ± 5.9% 36% 30% 4% 30%

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror Ann McLaneKuster (D) GaryLambert (R) Other UndecidedWMUR/UNH August 7–17, 2014 312 ± 5.5% 41% 35% 1% 24%WMUR/UNH June 19–July 1, 2014 246 ± 6.2% 45% 36% 1% 18%WMUR/UNH April 1–9, 2014 248 ± 6.2% 38% 31% 1% 30%WMUR/UNH January 21–26, 2014 280 ± 5.9% 38% 34% 2% 26%WMUR/UNH October 7–16, 2013 333 ± 5.4% 33% 34% 2% 31%New England College October 7–9, 2013 569 ± 4.13% 46% 26% — 28%

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror Ann McLaneKuster (D) JimLawrence (R) Other UndecidedWMUR/UNH August 7–17, 2014 312 ± 5.5% 40% 32% 2% 26%WMUR/UNH June 19–July 1, 2014 246 ± 6.2% 47% 35% 1% 17%

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 3, 2014 Rothenberg October 24, 2014 Sabato's Crystal Ball October 30, 2014RCP November 2, 2014Daily Kos Elections November 4, 2014

Results

See also 2014 United States House of Representatives elections 2014 United States elections

References

External links U.S. House elections in New Hampshire, 2014 at Ballotpedia Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets