Opinion polling for the 2015 Croatian parliamentary election started immediately after the 2011 general election. Monthly party ratings are conducted by Ipsos Puls, Mediana and Promocija Plus.

The poll results below are listed by category and ordered in reverse chronological order. Major political events are indicated chronologically between individual polls.

Opinion polling

Exit polls

Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size Croatia is Growing Patriotic Coalition Most IDS Human Blockade Milan Bandić 365 HDSSB ORaH Successful Croatia 8 November 2015 Ipsos puls 34,353 56 57 17 3 3 2 2 0 0

Graphical summary

If the Elections Were Held Today? Date Polling Firm Croatia is Growing HDZ coalition LAB ORaH NF SzH Most MB 365 ŽZ Others Undecided Lead 27 Oct telegram.hr 30.1 30.9 (Kuk) - - - - - - - - 0.8 21 Oct Promocija Plus 30.1 32.9 (Kuk) 2.5 - - 6.2 2.7 3.8 8.9 12.9 2.8 04 Oct Promocija plus 31.9 32.9 (Kuk) 4.4 - - 4.7 1.6 3.4 7.3 13.9 1.0 25 Sep IPSOS PULS 29.1 33.0 (Kuk) 4.1 - - 3.4 4.5 7.3 10.2 8.4 3.9 04 Sep Promocija plus 31.1 32.8 (Kuk) 4.4 - - 3.4 1.8 4.0 7.8 14.6 1.7 25 Aug IPSOS PULS 28.2 34.0 - 3.0 - - 2.9 3.8 7.1 10.6 10.4 5.8 22 Aug Mediana 31.7 30.3 - 7.8 - - - 2.9 3.4 - - 1.4 03 Aug Promocija plus 30.1 32.7 (Kuk) 5.4 - - 1.8 2.4 5.7 8.4 13.5 2.6 24 Jul IPSOS PULS 28.0 32.3 - 3.4 - - 2.8 3.0 8.5 5.3 11.8 4.3 Jul Mediana 28.9 28.6 - 6.6 - - - 4.0 4.8 - - 0.3 04 Jul Promocija plus 28.3 30.7 1.6 5.7 - - 3.1 2.7 5.3 8.8 13.7 2.4 24 Jun IPSOS PULS 30.5 29.8 - 5.1 - - 3.3 3.1 7.4 9.7 11.1 0.7 05 Jun Promocija plus 27.1 31.2 1.4 4.8 - - 3.7 2.5 5.5 10.3 13.5 4.1 25 May IPSOS PULS 26.0 30.1 - 6.9 - - 3.5 4.2 8.5 8.5 12.3 4.1 13 May Mediana 26.5 32.3 - 2.9 - - 1.2 0.3 3.3 16.7 16.7 5.8 5 May Promocija plus 26.4 32.5 1.5 6.2 - - 3.1 2.6 5.5 6.7 15.5 6.1 24 Apr IPSOS PULS 22.3 33.8 - 6.6 - - 3.7 2.8 15.9 7.8 7.1 11.5 03 Apr Promocija plus 27.8 33.5 2.0 6.8 - - - 1.2 7.7 6.8 14.3 5.7 25 Mar IPSOS PULS 25.6 31.3 2.2 9.4 - - - 3.0 12.1 7.4 9.0 5.7 05 Mar Promocija plus 27.8 33.7 1.0 6.9 - - - 1.5 7.2 6.3 15.6 5.9 25 Feb IPSOS PULS 24.8 31.9 1.5 10.4 - 1.8 - 2.1 14.9 3.9 8.7 7.1 05 Feb Promocija plus 27.2 32.7 1.3 10.8 - 3.6 - 1.5 8.6 2.3 12.1 5.5 26 Jan IPSOS PULS 25.1 31.0 - 13.0 - 2.1 - 2.9 11.7 6.1 8.0 5.9 07 Jan Promocija plus 25.9 33.0 1.7 11.4 - 3.9 - 1.2 7.8 2.3 12.3 7.1 2015 18 Dec IPSOS PULS 23.5 33.5 4.7 16.1 - 5.9 - 3.2 - 4.3 8.7 10.0 05 Dec Promocija plus 24.8 31.2 2.5 15.0 - 7.1 - 1.9 - - - 6.4 25 Nov IPSOS PULS 20.5 30.3 3.5 19.4 - 4.2 - 3.0 - 7.4 11.6 9.8 07 Nov Promocija plus 25.0 31.0 2.0 15.7 - 5.9 - 2.3 - - - 6.0 24 Oct IPSOS PULS 22.5 31.7 2.4 18.9 - 4.0 - 4.7 - 4.1 11.3 9.2 7 Oct Promocija plus 23.3 30.5 2.4 17.4 - 6.4 - 2.4 - - - 7.2 25 Sep IPSOS PULS 21.9 31.7 4.2 19.9 - 5.2 - 3.9 - 4.5 8.1 9.8 5 Sep Promocija plus 24.9 30.5 2.8 15.4 0.7 6.3 - 2.0 - 1.9 14.6 5.6 25 Aug IPSOS PULS 21.6 29.7 5.8 15.7 - 3.6 - 6.1 - 5.7 11.8 8.1 5 Aug Promocija plus 24.1 28.8 3.1 13.6 1.7 5.5 - 2.4 - 3.8 17.0 4.7 24 Jul IPSOS PULS 23.2 30.4 5.2 15.3 - 6.1 - 4.8 - 5.1 9.9 7.2 4 Jul Promocija plus 23.3 28.3 2.5 13.4 - 5.6 - - - - - 5.0 25 Jun IPSOS PULS 23.4 32.5 4.5 13.6 2.6 6.4 - 4.7 - 2.3 10.0 9.1 7 Jun Promocija plus 24.6 28.2 4.2 12.9 - 7.0 - - - - - 3.6 16 May IPSOS PULS 22.0 27.0 9.8 12.7 3.5 6.1 - 2.9 - 4.7 11.3 5.0 4 May Promocija plus 25.4 26.1 8.1 10.0 5.1 6.8 - - - - - 0.7 25 Apr IPSOS PULS 23.7 25.1 10.0 10.2 4.5 6.1 - 4.0 - 3.3 13.1 1.4 5 Apr Promocija plus 26.5 23.9 8.5 9.3 6.9 7.0 - 1.5 - 2.0 12.6 2.6 25 Mar IPSOS PULS 26.0 24.0 10.2 8.5 5.4 7.4 - 4.5 - 3.3 11.4 2.0 6 Mar Promocija plus 27.9 23.2 7.2 6.8 6.3 5.9 - 1.8 - 2.1 18.9 4.7 25 Feb IPSOS PULS 27.1 25.4 9.7 5.3 2.8 6.3 - 3.5 - 4.9 13.5 1.7 8 Feb Promocija plus 28.0 23.4 6.8 2.9 3.7 - - 1.6 - 7.7 24.7 4.6 6 Jan Promocija plus 29.1 24.2 6.9 2.5 2.4 - - 2.3 - 7.7 24.1 4.9 2014

Seats projections (76 needed for majority)

Date Polling Organisation/Client Croatia is Growing HDZ coalition Labour ORaH HDSSB Most Milan Bandić 365 IDS Human Blockade Successful Croatia Partnership of Croatian Center Alliance for Croatia Others 2 November 2015 Ipsos puls 60 57 (Croatia is Growing) 0 2 12 3 3 3 0 - - 0 3–21 October 2015 Promocija Plus 60 63 (Croatia is Growing) 1 3 5 3 3 1 1 - - 0 September 2015 Ipsos puls 53 (35,1%) 51 (33,8%) (Kukuriku) 12 (8%) 4 (2,7%) 6 4 2 8 0 - - 0 27 Mar 2014 Politika 43 (29.4%) 40 (27.1%) 16 (11.5%) 14 (9.6%) (Alliance for Croatia) - - (Kukuriku) - - 8 (6.1%) 12 (8.3%) 0 4 Dec 2011Results of the 2011 Croatian parliamentary election 81 49 6 - 6 - - (Kukuriku) - - - - 9

2014

Date Polling Organisation/Client Sample size Kukuriku coalition HDZ coalition Alliance for Croatia Labour Grubišić et al HSLS ORaH NF IL MB Other Undecided SDP HNS-LD HSU IDS HDZ HSS HSP-AS BUZ HDSSB HSP HRAST Hrvatska Zora 4 Jul CRO Demoskop 1,300 23.3% 28.3% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8% 1.1% 12.6% 0.8% 2.3% 2.3% 17.9% 19.1% 3.0% 0.7% 1.2% 23.1% 2.9% 2.2% 0.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.8% 1.5% 25 Jun Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 1,300 23.4% 32.5% 6.4% 4.5% - - 13.8% - 3.3% 7.7% 10.7% 17.4% 2.3% - - 25.5% 3.6% 2.5% 3.7% 2.7% - 2.7% - 7 Jun CRO Demoskop 1,300 24.6% 28.2% 7.0% 4.2% - - 12.3% - - 3.0% 14.5% 19.6% 2.9% - - 22.9% 2.9% - - - - - - 25 May Major opposition party HDZ in coalition with HSS and HSP-AS received 41.4% of votes on European Parliament election May 2014.The Kukuriku coalition gathered around the main ruling party SDP won 30% of votes. 16 May Ipsos Puls 1,000 22.0% 27.0% 6.1% 7.3% 1.3% <1.0% 11.9% 2.5% 2.2% 2.9% 11.7% 18.9% 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 23.3% 1.9% 1.6% 2.1% 2.4% 1.6% 1.7% <1.0% 4 May CRO Demoskop 1,300 25.4% 26.1% 6.8% 7.4% 0.8% 1.4% 9.9% 3.3% 1.6% 3.0% 14.5% 19.7% 3.4% 0.8% 1.2% 20.2% 3.3% 1.8% - 2.4% 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 25 Apr Ipsos Puls for NovaTV 1,000 23.7% 25.1% 6.1% 8.8% 1.3% 1.2% 10.8% 2.0% 2.8% 4.8% 13.8% 19.7% 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 19.8% 2.6% 2.0% 1.6% 3.0% 2.1% 2.0% 1.4% 5 Apr CRO Demoskop 1,300 26.5% 23.9% 7.0% 7.4% 0.7% 1.5% 7.8% 4.0% 1.5% 1.3% 12.6% 20.7% 4.0% 1.2% 1.3% 20.2% 2.6% 1.9% <1.0% 2.3% 1.6% 1.3% <1.0% 25 Mar Ipsos Puls for NovaTV 1,000 26.0% 24.0% 7.4% 8.7% 0.8% 2.0% 7.5% 3.3% 3.6% 1.4% 12.7% 20.3% 2.3% 1.3% 1.4% 20.4% 1.1% 2.2% 3.6% 3.3% 1.7% 1.3% 0.9% 11 Mar Major opposition party Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) and former Prime Minister and leader of HDZ Ivo Sanader were found guilty of corruption. 5 Mar CRO Demoskop 1,300 27.9% 23.2% 5.9% 7.2% <1.0%% 1.2% 6.8% 4.4% 1.7% 1.7% 18.5% 22.5% 4.9% 1.7% 1.2% 20.2% 2.3% <1.0% 2.1% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7% 1 Mar NF and the HSLS signed an agreement on joint participation in the elections for the European Parliament and formed partnership of Croatian center. Alliance of Primorje-Gorski Kotar (PGS) announced to join this coalition. 25 Feb Ipsos Puls for NovaTV 1,000 27.1% 25.4% 6.3% 9.7% 1.9% 1.0% 5.3% 3.2% 3.5% 6.4% 13.5% 22.2% 4.0% 2.1% 2.2% 20.7% 2.2% 3.0% 1.8% 3.7% 1.6% 0.8% 20 Feb Member of Croatian Parliament Natalija Martinčević and former CEO of HEP were expelled from HNS-LD. 8 Feb CRO Demoskop 1,300 28.0% 23.4% 5.7% 6.8% 1.0% 1.2% 2.9% 3.7% 1.6% 1.5% 20.8% 23.4% 4.0% 1.2% 1.1% 20.5% 2.7% 2.2% <1% 2.1% 1.7% 1.4% 0.5% 5 Feb Leaders of eight right-wing parties formed the Alliance for Croatia, the Alliance consists of HDSSB, HSP, HRAST, Hrvatska Zora, A-HSS and other minor right wing parties. 25 Jan Ipsos Puls for NovaTV 1,000 29.4% 29.6% 4.4% 10.5% 3.7% 1.8% 3.7% 15.8% 22.7% 3.4% 1.8% 1.5% 21.0% 3.4% 3.7% 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 15 Jan Former President of the HNS-LD, and First Deputy Prime Minister Radimir Čačić was expelled from the party. 6 Jan CRO Demoskop 1,300 29.1% 24.2% 5.7% 6.9% 1.1% 1.4% 2.5% 2.4% 2.3% 1.3% 19.5% 23.9% 4.9% 1.3% 1.3% 20.8% 2.9% 2.0% <1.0% 2.3% 2.1% 1.3% <1.0%

2013