2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire

The 2014 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Hampshire, concurrently with the election of the governor of New Hampshire, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen ran for re-election to a second term in office. Primary elections were held on September 9, 2014. Shaheen was unopposed for the Democratic nomination and the Republicans nominated former U.S. Senator Scott Brown, who represented Massachusetts from 2010 to 2013.

Brown sought to become only the third person in history and the first in 135 years to represent more than one state in the United States Senate. Waitman T. Willey represented Virginia from 1861 to 1863 and West Virginia from 1863 to 1871 and James Shields represented Illinois from 1849 to 1855, Minnesota from 1858 to 1859 and Missouri in 1879.

Shaheen defeated Brown by 51.5% to 48.2%, making him the first man to lose two Senate races to women, as he had lost his 2012 reelection bid in Massachusetts to Elizabeth Warren. Shaheen became the second Democrat from New Hampshire to be reelected to the Senate and the first since Thomas J. McIntyre in 1972.

Democratic primary Shaheen was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

Candidates Declared Jeanne Shaheen, incumbent U.S. Senator

Endorsements

Results

Republican primary The Republican primary for this election was much more highly contested than the respective Democratic one, with Scott Brown beating out Jim Rubens and Bob Smith for the Republican nomination.

Candidates Declared Gerard Beloin, candidate for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district in 2012 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 Scott Brown, former U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2010-2013) Robert D'Arcy Miroslaw "Miro" Dziedzic, candidate for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district in 2012 Mark W. Farnham, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1992 Bob Heghmann Walter W. Kelly Andy Martin, perennial candidate Jim Rubens, Chairman of the Granite State Coalition Against Expanded Gambling, former state senator and candidate for Governor in 1998 Bob Smith, former U.S. Senator from this seat (1990-2003) and candidate for President in 2000

Withdrew Karen Testerman, conservative activist and candidate for Governor in 2010 (endorsed Smith)

Declined Richard Ashooh, candidate for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2010 Al Baldasaro, state representative Charles Bass, former U.S. Representative Bill Binnie, industrialist, investment banker and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 Jeb Bradley, Majority Leader of the New Hampshire Senate and former U.S. Representative David M. Cote, chairman and CEO of Honeywell Judd Gregg, former U.S. Senator and former governor of New Hampshire Frank Guinta, former U.S. Representative (ran for NH-01) Daniel Innis, Dean of the Peter T. Paul College of Business and Economics at the University of New Hampshire (ran for NH-01) Ovide Lamontagne, businessman, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and nominee for Governor in 1996 and 2012 Andy Sanborn, state senator Mark Steyn, conservative author and political commentator Chris Sununu, executive councillor, son of former governor John H. Sununu and brother of former U.S. Senator John E. Sununu (ran for re-election) John E. Sununu, former U.S. Senator Fred Tausch, businessman Fran Wendelboe, former state representative and candidate for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2002

Endorsements

Polling Poll source CharlesBass ScottBrown AndyMartin JimRubens BobSmith KarenTesterman Other UndecidedNew England CollegeNew England College October 7–9, 2013 424 ± 4.56% 21% 47% — 5% — 4% — 23%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 528 ± 4.3% — 42% 11% 8% 11% 7% — 22% — — 4% 12% 26% 10% — 47%Gravis MarketingGravis Marketing January 29–30, 2014 498 ± 4.3% — 51% — — 22% — — 27%Suffolk/Boston HeraldSuffolk/Boston Herald February 27 – March 5, 2014 426 ± 4.8% — 33.33% 0.7% 3.05% 11.97% 3.29% — 47.65%Vox Populi Polling May 14–15, 2014 ? ± 5.2% — 38% — 9% 13% 8% — 32%Suffolk/Boston HeraldSuffolk/Boston Herald June 14–18, 2014 419 ± 4.8% — 40.33% 0.24% 3.58% 12.17% — 2.88%Miro Dziedzic 0.72%, Bob Heghmann 0.72%, Walter Kelly 0.72%, Mark Farnham 0.48%, Robert D'Arcy 0.24% 40.81%NBC/MaristNBC/Marist July 7–13, 2014 1,342 ± 2.7% — 61% — 10% 16% — 1% 12%

Results

General election Debates Complete video of debate, October 21, 2014 Complete video of debate, October 23, 2014

Fundraising Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt Jeanne Shaheen (D) $16,506,920.00 $16,466,208.00 $88,652.00 $10,620.00 Scott Brown (R) $9,222,677.00 $9,163,652.00 $59,026.00 $0 Source: Federal Election Commission

Independent expenditures Super PAC Supporting Amount Media Goal Senate Majority PAC Jeanne Shaheen $682,558 TV Oppose Scott Brown League of Conservation Voters Victory Fund Jeanne Shaheen $364,320 TV Oppose Scott Brown Ending Spending Inc. Scott Brown $61,448 Media Oppose Jeanne Shaheen Ending Spending Action Fund Scott Brown $60,136 Media Support Scott Brown New Hampshire PAC to Save America Jim Rubens $57,866 Direct Mail Support Jim Rubens NextGen Climate Action Committee Jeanne Shaheen $37,421 Digital Advertising Oppose Scott Brown Ocean Champions Jeanne Shaheen $25,000 Media Oppose Scott Brown Tea Party Victory Fund Bob Smith $15,000 Voter Contact Calls Support Bob Smith

Predictions Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report November 3, 2014 Sabato's Crystal Ball November 3, 2014 Rothenberg Political Report November 3, 2014 Real Clear Politics November 3, 2014

Polling Poll source JeanneShaheen (D) ScottBrown (R) Other UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 933 ± ? 52% 41% — 7%Rockefeller CenterRockefeller Center April 22–25, 2013 433 ± 4.7% 44% 30% — 26%New England CollegeNew England College May 2–5, 2013 807 ± 3.27% 54% 35% — 11%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% 48% 44% — 7%American Research GroupAmerican Research Group December 13–16, 2013 549 ± 4.2% 48% 38% — 14%Public Policy Polling January 9–12, 2014 1,354 ± 2.7% 46% 43% — 10%Purple StrategiesPurple Strategies January 21–23, 2014 1,052 ± 3% 44% 44% — 12%Harper PollingHarper Polling January 22–23, 2014 513 ± 4.33% 40% 35% — 25%WMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH January 21–26, 2014 454 ± 4.1% 47% 37% 3% 14%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling February 19–20, 2014 686 ± 3.7% 47% 39% — 14%Suffolk/Boston Herald February 27 – March 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 52% 39% — 9%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports March 12–13, 2014 750 ± 4% 50% 41% 4% 5%American Research Group March 13–16, 2014 533 ± 4.2% 50% 38% — 12%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling April 7–8, 2014 1,034 ± 3.1% 49% 41% — 10%WMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH April 1–9, 2014 387 ± 5% 45% 39% 2% 14%Rockefeller CenterRockefeller Center April 21–25, 2014 412 ± 4.8% 39% 36% — 25%Hickman AnalyticsHickman Analytics April 24–30, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 49% 43% — 8%Vox Populi Polling May 14–15, 2014 707 ± 3.6% 47% 35% — 18%American Research Group June 14–18, 2014 540 ± 4.2% 50% 38% — 12%Suffolk/Boston HeraldSuffolk/Boston Herald June 14–18, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 49% 39% 3% 9%WMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH June 19 – July 1, 2014 509 ± 4.3% 52% 40% 1% 7%NBC News/MaristNBC News/Marist July 7–13, 2014 1,342 ± 2.7% 50% 42% 1% 6%Magellan StrategiesMagellan Strategies July 7–13, 2014 1,618 ± 2.43% 46% 41% — 13%CBS News/NYT/YouGovCBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,251 ± 2.9% 50% 40% 4% 6%WMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH August 7–17, 2014 609 ± 4% 46% 44% 1% 9%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling August 27–28, 2014 766 ± ? 50% 44% — 6%Public Opinion StrategiesPublic Opinion Strategies August 27 – September 1, 2014 500 ± 4.38% 44% 41% 9%Gardner Goldsmith (L) 6%CBS News/NYT/YouGovCBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 2014 1,159 ± 4% 47% 41% 4% 9%Kiley & CompanyKiley & Company September 2–4, 2014 602 ± 4% 50% 42% — 8%Global Strategy GroupGlobal Strategy Group September 10, 2014 1,027 ± 3.1% 48% 41% — 11%Kiley & CompanyKiley & Company September 9–11, 2014 600 ± 4% 51% 43% — 6%CNN/ORCCNN/ORC September 8–11, 2014 735 LV ± 3.5% 48% 48% — 4% 883 RV ± 3.5% 51% 44% — 5%Magellan StrategiesMagellan Strategies September 10–11, 2014 2,214 ± 2% 44% 46% — 10%Rasmussen Reports September 10–11, 2014 1,027 ± 3.1% 48% 42% 5% 5%New England CollegeNew England College September 10–11, 2014 630 ± 3.98% 51% 40% 5% 4%American Research Group September 12–15, 2014 544 ± 4.2% 50% 45% — 5%Vox Populi Polling September 15–16, 2014 550 ± 4.2% 43% 47% — 11%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling September 18–19, 2014 652 ± 3.8% 50% 44% — 5%New England CollegeNew England College September 19–20, 2014 1,494 ± 2.54% 50% 43% 4% 3%American Research Group September 27–29, 2014 600 ± 4% 53% 43% — 4%New England CollegeNew England College September 26, 2014 1,331 ± 2.69% 47% 47% 3% 3%CBS News/NYT/YouGovCBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 2014 1,260 ± 3% 48% 41% 1% 10%New England CollegeNew England College October 3, 2014 1,286 ± 2.73% 49% 46% 3% 2%WMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH September 29 – October 5, 2014 532 ± 4.2% 47% 41% 1% 10%High Point UniversityHigh Point University October 4–8, 2014 824 ± 3.4% 48% 46% — 6%Kiley & CompanyKiley & Company October 7–9, 2014 600 ± 4% 50% 44% — 6%New England CollegeNew England College October 9, 2014 1,081 ± 2.98% 47% 48% 3% 2%UMass AmherstUMass Amherst October 10–15, 2014 322 LV ± 6.6% 48% 45% 5% 2% 400 RV ± 6% 49% 41% 5% 5%New England CollegeNew England College October 16, 2014 921 ± 3.23% 47% 48% 3% 2%Suffolk/Boston HeraldSuffolk/Boston Herald October 16–19, 2014 500 ± ? 49% 46% — 6%UMass LowellUMass Lowell October 15–21, 2014 643 LV ± 4.5% 49% 46% 1% 4% 900 RV ± 3.8% 48% 41% 2% 10%CNN/ORCCNN/ORC October 18–21, 2014 645 LV ± 4% 49% 47% — 3% 877 RV ± 3.5% 50% 44% — 5%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling October 20–21, 2014 764 ± ? 49% 45% — 5%American Research Group October 19–22, 2014 600 ± 4% 49% 48% — 3%CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,042 ± 4% 46% 41% 1% 12%New England CollegeNew England College October 24, 2014 1,132 ± 2.91% 47% 48% 3% 2%WMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH October 22–26, 2014 555 ± 4.2% 50% 42% — 8%Vox Populi PollingVox Populi Polling October 27–28, 2014 638 ± 3.9% 49% 45% — 6%American Research Group October 27–29, 2014 600 ± 4% 49% 49% — 2%Rasmussen Reports October 29–30, 2014 940 ± 3% 52% 45% 1% 2%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling October 30–31, 2014 679 ± ? 49% 47% — 4%New England CollegeNew England College October 31 – November 1, 2014 1,526 ± 2.51% 48% 49% 1% 2%WMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH October 29 – November 2, 2014 757 ± 3.6% 47% 45% 3% 6%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling November 1–3, 2014 1,690 ± 2.4% 50% 48% — 3%

Poll source JeanneShaheen (D) CharlesBass (R) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% 51% 41% — 8%New England College October 7–9, 2013 1,063 ± 3% 51% 32% — 17%WMUR/UNHWMUR/UNH October 7–16, 2013 663 ± 3.8% 51% 34% 2% 13%

Poll source JeanneShaheen (D) JebBradley (R) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 933 ± ? 54% 39% — 7%Rockefeller Center April 22–25, 2013 433 ± 4.7% 48% 25% — 27%

Poll source JeanneShaheen (D) TedGatsas (R) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 933 ± ? 53% 34% — 14%

Poll source JeanneShaheen (D) FrankGuinta (R) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling April 19–21, 2013 933 ± ? 55% 37% — 8%

Poll source JeanneShaheen (D) DanInnis (R) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling September 13–16, 2013 1,038 ± 3% 52% 30% — 18%

Poll source JeanneShaheen (D) AndyMartin (R) Other UndecidedSuffolk/Boston Herald February 27 – March 5, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 52% 27% — 21%