An extremely critical fire weather event is the greatest threat level issued by the NWS Storm Prediction Center (SPC) for wildfire events in the United States. On the scale from one to three, an extremely critical is a level three; thus, these outlooks are issued only when forecasters at the SPC are confident of extremely dangerous wildfire conditions on a given day, and are typically reserved for the most extreme events. They are only issued for either Day 2 (with the event occurring the following day) or for Day 1 (on the day of the event). In contrast with high risk outlooks for severe weather outbreaks, extremely critical outlooks are commonly issued for Day 2. This is due to the fact that the conditions required for volatile wildfire spread are easier to predict well in advance than the conditions required for a major tornado outbreak or derecho. Similar to high risk outlooks, extremely critical outlooks also cannot be issued for Day 3 of the outlook period.
Extremely critical days 2000–2009 Storm Prediction Center Extremely Critical Fire Weather Events – 2000–2009DateYearRegionBurned areaFatalitiesOutlookNotes Arizona, New Mexico Cerro Grande Fire Nevada, Utah, Colorado, Arizona, New Mexico Cerro Grande Fire Wyoming, Utah, Colorado, Arizona, New Mexico, Texas, Oklahoma Cerro Grande Fire Colorado, Arizona, New Mexico, Nebraska, Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma Cerro Grande Fire Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, Florida One of only two extremely critical areas issued east of the Mississippi River, the other was issued on May 12, 2008 Nevada, Arizona, Utah Nevada, Arizona, Utah Wyoming, Colorado, Utah Wyoming, Colorado, Utah, Montana, Idaho Idaho-Montana wildfires of Summer 2000 Washington, Oregon, Montana, Idaho Idaho-Montana wildfires of Summer 2000 Wyoming, Montana, Idaho Idaho-Montana wildfires of Summer 2000 California, Oregon, Nevada, Wyoming, Montana, Idaho Idaho-Montana wildfires of Summer 2000 Wyoming, Montana, Idaho Idaho-Montana wildfires of Summer 2000 Wyoming, Montana, Idaho Idaho-Montana wildfires of Summer 2000 Wyoming, Montana, Idaho, South Dakota Idaho-Montana wildfires of Summer 2000 Wyoming, Montana, Idaho Idaho-Montana wildfires of Summer 2000 South Central U.S. New Mexico, Colorado, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas California California California California California California California California Viejas Fire New Mexico, Texas New Mexico, Texas Idaho, Wyoming Green Knoll Fire Eastern Great Basin region Darby Fire New Mexico, Texas New Mexico, Texas Central Rocky Mountains region New Mexico, Arizona, Colorado Western U.S.Storm Prediction Center June 8, 2002 1005 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Hayman Fire Western U.S.Storm Prediction Center June 9, 2002 0955 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Hayman Fire NevadaStorm Prediction Center September 15, 2002 0835 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks CaliforniaStorm Prediction Center January 6, 2003 1025 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Pacific Fire Arizona, Colorado, UtahStorm Prediction Center April 2, 2003 1010 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Arizona, New MexicoStorm Prediction Center May 3, 2003 0930 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Colorado, New Mexico, UtahStorm Prediction Center June 23, 2003 0845 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Aspen Fire UtahStorm Prediction Center May 10, 2004 0852 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Southwestern U.S.Storm Prediction Center May 11, 2004 0945 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks New Mexico, TexasStorm Prediction Center March 29, 2005 0800 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks CaliforniaStorm Prediction Center November 18, 2005 0830 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks School Canyon Fire New Mexico, Oklahoma, TexasStorm Prediction Center November 27, 2005 0935 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Velma Fire New Mexico, Oklahoma, TexasStorm Prediction Center January 1, 2006 1530 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Outlooks Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 Central U.S.Storm Prediction Center January 3, 2006 1511 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 New Mexico, Oklahoma, TexasStorm Prediction Center January 7, 2006 1020 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 Southern U.S.Storm Prediction Center January 8, 2006 0905 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 Oklahoma, TexasStorm Prediction Center January 12, 2006 0840 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 Oklahoma, TexasStorm Prediction Center January 14, 2006 1035 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 Oklahoma, TexasStorm Prediction Center January 15, 2006 1010 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 CaliforniaStorm Prediction Center January 23, 2006 0915 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks CaliforniaStorm Prediction Center February 7, 2006 1035 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Orange County Fire CaliforniaStorm Prediction Center February 8, 2006 1000 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Orange County Fire New Mexico, Oklahoma, TexasStorm Prediction Center March 8, 2006 1030 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Central U.S.Storm Prediction Center March 10, 2006 0925 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks New Mexico, TexasStorm Prediction Center March 11, 2006 1040 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Central U.S.Storm Prediction Center March 12, 2006 1020 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 New Mexico, Oklahoma, TexasStorm Prediction Center April 6, 2006 0815 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 Central U.S.Storm Prediction Center April 15, 2006 1020 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Texas-Oklahoma wildfires of 2005–06 Southwestern U.S.Storm Prediction Center May 27, 2006 1020 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Southwestern U.S.Storm Prediction Center June 14, 2006 1100 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks June 2006 Colorado wildfires Arizona, New MexicoStorm Prediction Center June 15, 2006 0815 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Northwestern U.S.Storm Prediction Center August 29, 2006 0510 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Tripod Complex, Tatoosh Complex, and Cedar Creek fires Idaho, Montana, WyomingStorm Prediction Center August 30, 2006 0820 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Middle Fork Complex, Trail Creek, Potato, and Zane fires TexasStorm Prediction Center November 15, 2006 1040 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks CaliforniaStorm Prediction Center January 8, 2007 0900 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Malibu Fire TexasStorm Prediction Center February 24, 2007 0955 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks New Mexico, TexasStorm Prediction Center February 28, 2007 0950 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Arizona, Nevada, UtahStorm Prediction Center June 5, 2007 0925 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Arizona, New MexicoStorm Prediction Center June 6, 2007 0940 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks NevadaStorm Prediction Center July 18, 2007 0940 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Murphy Complex Fire CaliforniaStorm Prediction Center October 21, 2007 0915 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2007 California wildfires CaliforniaStorm Prediction Center October 22, 2007 0925 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2007 California wildfires CaliforniaStorm Prediction Center October 23, 2007 0900 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2007 California wildfires TexasStorm Prediction Center January 29, 2008 0830 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2008 Texas wildfires TexasStorm Prediction Center January 31, 2008 1020 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2008 Texas wildfires TexasStorm Prediction Center February 25, 2008 1000 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2008 Texas wildfires Arizona, New Mexico, TexasStorm Prediction Center March 14, 2008 0811 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2008 Texas wildfires New Mexico, TexasStorm Prediction Center March 16, 2008 0852 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2008 Texas wildfires TexasStorm Prediction Center March 18, 2008 0715 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2008 Texas wildfires Kansas, Oklahoma, TexasStorm Prediction Center March 20, 2008 0810 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2008 Texas wildfires New Mexico, TexasStorm Prediction Center April 3, 2008 0819 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2008 Texas wildfires New Mexico, TexasStorm Prediction Center April 9, 2008 0713 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2008 Texas wildfires Arizona, New Mexico, TexasStorm Prediction Center April 10, 2008 0712 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2008 Texas wildfires New Mexico, TexasStorm Prediction Center April 16, 2008 0806 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2008 Texas wildfires Arizona, New Mexico, TexasStorm Prediction Center April 30, 2008 0858 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2008 Texas wildfires and X Fire New Mexico, TexasStorm Prediction Center May 1, 2008 0838 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2008 Texas wildfires Florida, Southwestern U.S.Storm Prediction Center May 12, 2008 0827 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2008 Texas wildfires; one of only two extremely critical areas issued east of the Mississippi River, the other was issued on May 24, 2000 New Mexico, TexasStorm Prediction Center May 13, 2008 0657 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2008 Texas wildfires Arizona, New MexicoStorm Prediction Center May 21, 2008 0818 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Arizona, New MexicoStorm Prediction Center June 4, 2008 0838 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks New Mexico, TexasStorm Prediction Center June 5, 2008 0901 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2008 Texas wildfires New Mexico, Oklahoma, TexasStorm Prediction Center June 11, 2008 0815 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks 2008 Texas wildfires TexasStorm Prediction Center February 10, 2009 0930 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Central U.S.Storm Prediction Center February 17, 2009 0739 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Central U.S.Storm Prediction Center March 5, 2009 0836 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Kansas, Oklahoma, TexasStorm Prediction Center March 23, 2009 0859 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Arizona, New Mexico, TexasStorm Prediction Center March 26, 2009 0846 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks New Mexico, TexasStorm Prediction Center April 1, 2009 0813 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks New Mexico, Oklahoma, TexasStorm Prediction Center April 9, 2009 0756 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks April 2009 Texas wildfires Arizona, New MexicoStorm Prediction Center June 6, 2009 0711 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Arizona, Nevada, UtahStorm Prediction Center August 6, 2009 0743 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks Southwestern U.S.Storm Prediction Center August 7, 2009 0731 UTC Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks
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