"Sure Thing" is a song by the American singer and songwriter Miguel. Produced by Happy Perez, the song is included on his debut album, All I Want Is You (2010). It was first posted onto YouTube in 2007, via Myspace. It was sent to radio as the album's second single in January 2011. The R&B song features neo soul influences, and had been noted for its similarities to the work of singer Jon B.
It initially achieved moderate success on the US Billboard Hot 100, reaching number 36 on the chart. It also reached number one on the US R&B chart, and spent more than fifty total weeks on the chart. "Sure Thing" marked Miguel's first number one hit on the Billboard Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs chart and it was his most successful single until the release of "Adorn" in 2012. As of July 2013, the song had sold 1,106,000 copies in the United States.
Following a resurgence in streaming due to it going viral on TikTok over a decade after its initial release, the song began to re chart worldwide, and it reached new peaks in several countries, including the United Kingdom, where it reached number four, becoming Miguel's first top ten hit in the region. Furthermore, it was reissued to US radio in February 2023 and also re entered the Billboard Hot 100, eventually reaching a new peak of number 11 and becoming his first number one hit on the US Pop Airplay chart.
Music and lyrics Lyrically, Miguel uses analogies to express his love interest, such as "You are the chalk / And I could be your blackboard" and "If I'm the lyric baby / You could be the note". Sheet music for the song shows the key of F♯ minor (F♯m).
Music video The music video premiered on January 5, 2011, was directed by Hype Williams and was shot in Honolulu, Hawaii.
Remix The official remix features rapper Pusha T.
Lil Wayne released a remix of the single on his Sorry 4 the Wait mixtape on July 13, 2011.
Charts
Weekly charts +2011–2012 weekly chart performance for "Sure Thing"Chart (2011–2012)Peakposition +2022–2026 weekly chart performance for "Sure Thing"Chart (2022–2023)Peakposition Australia (ARIA) 6 Denmark (Tracklisten) 29 France (SNEP) 66 Iceland (Tónlistinn) 11 Latvia (LAIPA) 4 Lithuania (AGATA) 8 New Zealand (Recorded Music NZ) 4 Norway (VG-lista) 14 Philippines (Billboard) 12 Philippines (Billboard Philippines Hot 100)37Philippines (Billboard Top Philippine Songs)19 Poland (Polish Streaming Top 100) 20 Singapore (RIAS) 26 South Africa (Billboard) 13 Sweden (Sverigetopplistan) 17
Year-end charts +2011 year-end chart performance for "Sure Thing"Chart (2011)Position US Billboard Hot 100 92 US Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs (Billboard) 1 US Rhythmic (Billboard) 48 +2012 year-end chart performance for "Sure Thing"Chart (2012)Position US Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs (Billboard) 88 + 2023 year-end chart performance for "Sure Thing" Chart (2023) Position Australia (ARIA) 21 Canada (Canadian Hot 100) 25 Germany (Official German Charts) 100 Global 200 (Billboard) 33 New Zealand (Recorded Music NZ) 4 Sweden (Sverigetopplistan) 92 Switzerland (Schweizer Hitparade) 62 UK Singles (OCC) 12 US Billboard Hot 100 24 US Adult Top 40 (Billboard) 45 US Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs (Billboard) 7 US Mainstream Top 40 (Billboard) 5 US Rhythmic (Billboard) 44 + 2024 year-end chart performance for "Sure Thing" Chart (2024) Position Global 200 (Billboard) 159
Decade-end charts +Decade-end chart performance for "Sure Thing" Chart (2010–2019) Position US Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs (Billboard) 16
Certifications
Release history +Release history and formats for "Sure Thing"CountryDateFormatLabel United States January 17, 2011 Urban contemporary radio Jive February 28, 2023 Contemporary hit radio RCA
References