The Heard Island glaciers covered 79% of Heard Island itself, in 1947, covering ; by 1988, this had decreased by 11% to 257 km2. The glaciers fall under the Antarctic Environmental Gradient, which spans 30 degrees of latitude and includes a range of macro-climatic zones from cool temperate islands to the frigid and arid Antarctic continent. Glaciers extend from 2745 m to sea level, with ice up to 150 m deep. The geologic movement of the glaciers can appear fast-flowing due to the steep slope and high precipitation, and are particularly sensitive to climatic fluctuations. Measurements between 1947 and 1980 show glacial retreat, particularly on the eastern flanks, is correlated with changes in weather patterns.

A 29% reduction in area of the Brown Glacier from 1947 to 2003 was observed. The volcano Big Ben, from which all the glaciers drain, has shown no sign of changing geothermal output to cause the melting; of warming has occurred over the same time period. Glaciologists continue to study the Brown Glacier, detailing surveys of the glacier's snout and surface, which determine if glacial retreat is rapid or punctuated.

Measurements on the mass balance of the glacier, as well as more detailed ice thickness measurements using a portable radar echo sounder, were undertaken. Monitoring of climatic conditions continues, with emphasis on the impact of Foehn winds on glacier mass balance.

An expedition by scientists from the Australian Antarctic Division visited the volcanic island in 2009, observing glaciers that had retreated 50 metres in three years. Repairs were made to an automatic weather station established in November 2000.

Glaciologist Dr. Ian Allison cites that the latest aerial surveys show continuous rapid melt and that satellite imagery shows that McDonald Island island double in size due to volcanic activity.

Glacier changes Changes before 1955 No apparent change from 1874 to 1902, or from 1902 to 1929. Minor recession in a few places by 1947 and widespread by 1954. Marked changes occurred in the ice formation above on the southwestern slopes of Big Ben from 1949 to 1954 (possibly volcanic activity (Padang, 1963)

Changes since 1955 The major recession in 1963 was obvious below on almost all glaciers, and minor recession was evident as high as . Winston Glacier retreated approximately between 1947 and 1963. Striking retreat on the coast northwest of Spit Bay. Disappearance of coastal ice cliffs high off Brown and Stephenson Glaciers by 1963. Glaciers terminated as much as inland. Marked recession since 1955 of Baudissin Glacier on the north coast, Vahsel Glacier on the west coast, and Jacka Glacier on the east coast of Laurens Peninsula. 1965 observations suggest a possible readvance of two glaciers: Winston Glacier had increased in thickness at its terminus, and some moraine overthrust was apparent at the northeastern seaward edge of Stephenson Glacier. Overthrusts had also been seen in 1963 on the north lateral moraine of Baudissin Glacier.

Possible causes of terminus change

Volcanic activity Volcanic activity may have caused the glacier changes above between 1949 and 1955, but such activity seems to be minor and localized. It cannot explain the widespread glacier retreat that has occurred since 1955. Snow is a poor conductor of heat, and the meltwater quickly becomes steam, resulting in a dampened response. The thin deposits of volcanic ash reduce albedo and accelerate melt, but thicker deposits of debris and cooled lava remain on the snow or ice for many years, insulating it against solar radiation and thus reducing melt.

Some of the volcano Big Ben's activities include a major eruption which was observed in 1910, incandescent lava reported in 1950, and new fumaroles seen above on the south western slopes of Big Ben in 1949; these were still active in 1954 but were not seen in 1963 or 1965.

Southward movement of the Antarctic Convergence The southward movement of the Antarctic Convergence might cause glacier retreat through a rise in sea and air temperature. However, there is no evidence of a change in the Antarctic Convergence's mean position. Because the Antarctic Convergence in the Kerguelen Islands region is not well known, its position there is the subject of considerable disagreement (Meinardus, 1923; Mackintosh, 1946; Ostapoff, 1965; Soviet Antarctic Expedition, 1966).

Climatic change Evidence of a probable change in the wind regime at Heard Island within the past century implies climate change is a real factor for terminus retreat. Sealers' observations (1856–1859) showed fewer southwesterly and more northerly winds than did those made by ANARE (1948–1955).

Individual glaciers

Glaciers Date of change Changes Baudissin 1955→ Continuous marked recession Vahsel 1955→ Continuous marked recession. Loss of at least vertically of ice, with horizontal retreat as indicated by terminal moraines. Abbotsmith 1947→ Relatively little change Gotley 1947→ Relatively little change Winston 1947–1963 Loss of about in thickness as indicated by young moraines flanking the Winston Lagoon; retreated Stephenson 1947–1963 of coastal ice cliff disappeared and terminated inland Brown 1947–1963; 2008 Similar to the Stephenson Glacier. of coastal ice cliff disappeared and terminated inland.29% reduction in area. Compton 1947–1986 Retreated http://journals.cambridge.org/article_S0032247400007099, Ian F. Allison and Peter L. Keage (1986). Recent changes in the glaciers of Heard Island. Polar Record, 23, pp 255-272 (members-only link) Jacka 1955→ Continuous marked recession

References