Opinion polling was commissioned throughout the duration of the 47th New Zealand Parliament and in the lead up to the 2005 election by various organisations.
Party vote and key events in the leadup to the 2005 election Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey firms.
Graphical summary
Individual polls PollDate Labour National NZ First ACT Green United Future Māori Destiny 2002 election result 27 Jul 2002 41.26 20.93 10.38 7.14 7.00 6.69 N/AThe Māori Party and Destiny New Zealand were formed in 2004 and 2003, so did not contest the 2002 electionOne News Colmar Brunton 1 Sep 2002 402510678TV3 NFO 16 – 22 Sep 2002 491910584.7NBR-HP Invent 19 – 22 Sep 2002 44229.58.55.9One News Colmar Brunton 23 – 26 Sep 2002 47268564One News Colmar Brunton 27 Oct 2002 51257555NBR-HP Invent 18 – 20 Oct 2002 47249.14.97.54.7TV3 NFO 18 – 24 Nov 2002 5019104.885One News Colmar Brunton 18 Nov 2002 49268652.9One News Colmar Brunton 15 Dec 2002 52256554Herald-DigiPoll 3 Feb 2003 49.622.97.25.95.13.3TV3 NFO 10 – 16 Feb 2003 562164.263.6One News Colmar Brunton 17 Feb 2003 53275662One News Colmar Brunton 23 Mar 2003 51286652.9TV3 NFO 7 – 13 Apr 2003 532654.962.4One News Colmar Brunton 13 Apr 2003 52266552Herald-DigiPoll 15–18 May 2003 49.42885.65.31.8One News Colmar Brunton 12 – 15 May 2003 50287632TV3 NFO 9 – 16 Jun 2003 522484.562.9One News Colmar Brunton 16 Jun 2003 54284 13 Jun 2003 – Destiny New Zealand is formed.Herald-DigiPollJul 2003 48.227.29.24.85.13.4One News Colmar Brunton 13 Jul 2003 51287641.1Herald-DigiPoll 12 – 17 Aug 2003 47.726.89.74.454.2TV3 NFO 12 Aug 2003 52239562.7One News Colmar Brunton 17 Aug 2003 47278652.6One News Colmar Brunton15 Sep 2003 45298573.4Herald-DigiPoll 15 Oct 2003 43.322.312.36.29.22.7TV3 NFO6 Oct 2003 462410682.9One News Colmar Brunton14 Oct 2003 45278672.8 28 Oct 2003 – Don Brash is elected leader of the National Party.One News Colmar Brunton9 Nov 2003 45318472.2One News Colmar Brunton14 Dec 2003 452811642.1 27 Jan 2004 – Don Brash delivers his Orewa Speech.Herald-DigiPoll 23 Feb 200437 45.55.62.35.31.43 News TNS 5 Feb 2004 433284.282.4One News Colmar Brunton29 Jan – 4 Feb 2004 38 4561.351.83 News TNS27 – 29 Feb 200439 4262.460.9One News Colmar Brunton22 Mar 200439 49422.21.73 News TNS25 – 31 Mar 2004 42 4251.34.62.1One News Colmar Brunton25 Apr 200437 4851.651.9One News Colmar Brunton17 – 20 May 200437 475341.4Herald-DigiPoll 27 May – 1 Jun 200436 445.624.72.43 News TNS27 May – 3 Jun 2004 4340524.62.3 13 Jun 2004 – Rodney Hide replaces Richard Prebble as leader of ACT New Zealand.One News Colmar Brunton21 Jun 200440 442.72.352.2One News Colmar Brunton 5 – 8 Jul 200439 4352.742.2 7 Jul 2004 – The Māori Party is formed.3 News TNS31 Jul 2004 443952.64.71.80.9Sunday Star-Times/BRC1 Aug 2004 443933One News Colmar Brunton 9 – 12 Aug 2004 444041.641.5One News Colmar Brunton13 Sep 2004 42 4252.541.7Herald-DigiPoll28 Sep 2004 40.836513.62.61.53 News TNS30 Sep – 6 Oct 2004 453353.35.22.8One News Colmar Brunton14 Oct 2004 443953.142.2One News Colmar Brunton15 Nov 2004 443853.342.5Herald-DigiPoll19 – 27 Nov 2004 50.130.45.72.55.42.31.93 News TNS25 Nov – 1 Dec 2004 463272.85.12.32.6One News Colmar Brunton13 Dec 2004 473552.851.4Herald-DigiPoll1 Feb 2005 44.835.34.71.66.931.53 News TNS4 Feb 2005 463852.14.71.41.7One News Colmar Brunton14 Feb 2005 443952412One News Colmar Brunton14 – 17 Mar 2005 463553511Herald-DigiPoll22 – 30 Mar 2005 47.734.53 News TNS15 Apr 2005 45348One News Colmar Brunton17 Apr 2005 453873411One News Colmar Brunton16 May 2005 4437824123 News TNS9 – 16 Jun 2005 4036111.56Fairfax Media–Nielsen18 Jun 2005 403882522One News Colmar Brunton19 Jun 200541 4372312One News Colmar Brunton18 Jul 200539 42716123 News TNS21 – 27 Jul 2005 39 3971.661.42.2Roy Morgan Research 21 Jul – 1 Aug 2005 38 38101.562One News Colmar Brunton1–4 Aug 2005 454152311Roy Morgan Research2–15 Aug 2005 4036.582.57.52One News Colmar Brunton15–18 Aug 2005 4537626111One News Colmar Brunton22–25 Aug 2005 43405271113 News TNS25 – 30 Aug 200539 4161.461.71.7One News Colmar Brunton29 Aug – 1 Sep 200538 46516121Roy Morgan Research 3 – 13 Sep 2005 38.5376.537.52.51.5One News Colmar Brunton5–8 Sep 200539 416362113 News TNS8 – 14 Sep 2005 40.538.76.80.96.93.01.4Herald-DigiPoll9 – 14 Sep 2005 44.637.44.51.34.62.62.3One News Colmar Brunton12 – 14 Sep 200538 4461.952.51.7Fairfax Media–Nielsen13 Sep 200537 4371631 2005 election result 17 Sep 2005 41.1 39.1 5.7 1.5 5.3 2.7 2.1 0.6PollDate Labour National NZ First ACT Green United Future Māori Destiny
See also 2005 New Zealand general election Politics of New Zealand
References