The 2010 congressional elections in Indiana were held on November 2, 2010, to determine who would represent the state of Indiana in the United States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the 112th Congress from January 2011 until January 2013, except for the winner of the 3rd District's special election, who will serve the few remaining weeks of the 111th Congress.
Indiana has nine seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census.
Overview United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana, 2010PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/– Republican 972,671 55.65% 6 +2 Democratic 679,462 38.88% 3 -2 Libertarian 84,289 4.82% 0 - Independents 11,298 0.65% 0 - Totals 1,747,720 100.00% 9 -
By district Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Indiana by district:
DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %District 1 65,558 38.63% 99,387 58.56% 4,762 2.81% 169,707 100.0% Democratic holdDistrict 2 88,803 46.84% 91,341 48.18% 9,447 4.98% 189,591 100.0% Democratic holdDistrict 3 116,140 62.76% 61,267 33.11% 7,642 4.13% 185,049 100.0% Republican holdDistrict 4 138,732 68.57% 53,167 26.28% 10,423 5.15% 202,322 100.0% Republican holdDistrict 5 146,899 62.14% 60,024 25.39% 29,484 12.47% 236,407 100.0% Republican holdDistrict 6 126,027 66.57% 56,647 29.92% 6,635 3.51% 189,309 100.0% Republican holdDistrict 7 55,213 37.81% 86,011 58.89% 4,815 3.30% 146,039 100.0% Democratic holdDistrict 8 117,259 57.55% 76,265 37.43% 10,240 5.02% 203,764 100.0% Republican gainDistrict 9 118,040 52.34% 95,353 42.28% 12,139 5.38% 225,532 100.0% Republican gainTotal 972,671 55.65% 679,462 38.88% 95,587 5.47% 1,747,720 100.0%
District 1
Democrat Pete Visclosky has represented this district since 1985. The PVI is D+8. He faced Republican activist Mark Leyva and Libertarian candidate Jon Morris. Visclosky was endorsed by the Northwest Indiana Times and the Indianapolis Star.
Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report November 1, 2010 Rothenberg November 1, 2010 Sabato's Crystal BallCrystal Ball, November 1, 2010RCPRealClearPolitics, November 1, 2010CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010New York Times November 1, 2010FiveThirtyEight November 1, 2010
Results
By county Source
County Pete ViscloskyDemocratic Mark LeyvaRepublican Jon MorrisLibertarian Margin Total Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %Benton71932.42%1,35260.96%1476.63%-633-28.54%2,218Jasper2,94135.75%4,99860.75%2883.50%-2,058-25.02%8,227Lake72,81863.72%38,85734.00%2,6092.28%33,96129.72%114,284Newton1,70439.78%2,33554.51%2455.72%-631-14.73%4,284Porter21,20552.11%18,01644.27%1,4733.62%3,1897.84%40,694
District 2
Democrat Joe Donnelly had represented this district since 2007 and ran for reelection. He was challenged by Republican nominee State Representative Jackie Walorski, whom he defeated.
Obama carried this district with 54% of the vote in 2008. IN - District 2 from OurCampaigns.com Campaign Contributions from OpenSecrets 2010 Indiana - 2nd District from CQ Politics Race profile at The New York Times
Polling Poll source Date(s) administered Samplesize Margin oferror JoeDonnelly (D) JackieWalorski (R) UndecidedEPIC-MRAEPIC-MRA October 20–22, 2010 400 ± 4.9% 48% 43% n/aEPIC-MRAEPIC-MRA October 1–3, 2010 400 ± 4.9% 48% 39% 7%American Action Forum via South Bend TribuneAmerican Action Forum via South Bend Tribune August 16–19, 2010 400 ± 4.9% 46% 44% n/aThe Polling CompanyThe Polling Company July 31-August 3, 2010 309 ± 5.6% 52% 35% 11%
Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report November 1, 2010 Rothenberg November 1, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ball November 1, 2010RCP November 1, 2010CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010New York Times November 1, 2010FiveThirtyEight November 1, 2010
Results
By county Sources
CountyJoe DonnellyDemocraticJackie WalorskiRepublicanMark VogelLibertarianMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Carroll1,85030.90%3,71862.10%4197.00%-1,868-31.20%5,987Cass3,60833.00%6,69161.21%6335.79%-3,083-28.20%10,932Elkhart7,75640.80%10,48155.13%7754.08%-2,725-14.33%19,012Fulton2,59142.23%3,14951.33%3956.44%-558-9.10%6,135Howard3,91646.93%3,90146.75%5276.32%150.18%8,344La Porte15,70954.19%11,55239.85%1,7265.95%4,15714.34%28,987Marshall5,42140.74%7,22654.30%6604.96%-1,805-13.56%13,307Porter1,64843.53%1,92250.77%2165.71%-274-7.24%3,786Pulaski1,92441.98%2,33551.01%3247.07%-411-8.97%4,583St. Joseph42,70753.34%34,21242.73%3,1453.93%8,49510.61%80,064Starke3,77153.24%2,86240.41%4506.35%90912.83%7,083White44032.09%75455.00%17712.91%-314-22.90%1,371
District 3
Republican Mark Souder represented this district from 2003 until his resignation on May 18, 2010. Fellow Republican John McCain carried this district with 56% of the vote in the 2008 presidential election.
In the Republican primary, car dealer Bob Thomas gave Souder a strong challenge in the primary. An April SurveyUSA poll showed Thomas within six percentage points of Souder. Other Republican candidates included attorney Phil Troyer and Tea Party activist Greg Dickman. Souder won the primary with 48% of the vote. He was to face Democrat Fort Wayne councilman Tom Hayhurst.
However, as Souder announced his resignation both from Congress and from his Republican candidacy on May 18, 2010, Governor Mitch Daniels set a date for a special election to be held concurrently with the general election in November. A caucus was to be held to choose the Republican candidate for the special election and the general election. The Republican caucus to choose the nominee was held on June 12, 2010. State Senator Marlin Stutzman was selected as the Republican nominee for both the special and general elections.
Republican primary polling Poll Source Dates Administered Mark Souder Bob Thomas Phil Troyer Greg Dickman Undecided Survey USA (Link) April 22–26, 2010 35% 29% 19% 2% 16%
Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report November 1, 2010 Rothenberg November 1, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ball November 1, 2010RCP November 1, 2010CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010New York Times November 1, 2010FiveThirtyEight November 1, 2010
Results
By county Source
County Marlin StutzmanRepublican Tom HayhurstDemocratic Scott WiseLibertarian Tom MetzgerWrite-in Wes StephensWrite-in Margin Total Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %Allen50,33157.53%33,89238.74%3,2683.74%10.00%10.00%16,43918.79%87,493DeKalb7,21562.48%3,77132.66%5624.87%00.00%00.00%3,44229.81%11,548Elkhart19,28470.64%7,25126.56%7632.79%10.00%00.00%12,03344.08%27,299Kosciusko14,82074.27%4,22921.19%8974.50%80.04%00.00%10,59153.08%19,954LaGrange4,57869.65%1,68425.62%3114.73%00.00%00.00%2,89444.03%6,573Noble7,26364.18%3,48330.78%5705.04%00.00%00.00%3,78033.40%11,316Steuben6,05559.59%3,56535.09%5415.32%00.00%00.00%2,49024.51%10,161Whitley6,59461.60%3,39231.69%7196.72%00.00%00.00%3,20229.91%10,705
District 3 special election
The 2010 special election for was held November 2, contemporaneously with the regularly scheduled general election. The special election was called to fill the vacancy left by Republican Mark Souder, who resigned after an affair with a staffer was revealed.
Democratic candidates Tom Hayhurst, former Fort Wayne City Councilor; 2006 and 2010 Democratic nominee.
Republican candidates Nominee Marlin Stutzman, State Senator and former U.S. Senate candidate
District 4
Republican Steve Buyer did not run for re-election. McCain carried the district with 56% of the vote. Todd Rokita, the Republican Secretary of State of Indiana, Republican State Senator Brandt Hershman, Cheryl Denise Allen and Mark Seitz filed to run for Buyer's vacant seat. Rokita won the primary and defeated Democrat David Sanders in the general election.
Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report November 1, 2010 Rothenberg November 1, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ball November 1, 2010RCP November 1, 2010CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010New York Times November 1, 2010FiveThirtyEight November 1, 2010
Results
By county Source
County Todd RokitaRepublican David SandersDemocratic John DuncanConstitution Margin Total Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %Boone13,83673.94%3,95421.13%9224.93%9,88252.81%18,712Clinton4,98967.45%1,97426.69%4345.87%3,01540.76%7,397Fountain1,13363.12%54430.31%1186.57%58932.81%1,795Hendricks28,94674.56%8,19121.10%1,6864.34%20,75553.46%38,823Johnson24,21673.99%6,88521.04%1,6274.97%17,33152.95%32,728Lawrence7,45468.22%2,92026.73%5525.05%4,53441.50%10,926Marion8,12560.50%4,73235.23%5734.27%3,39325.26%13,430Monroe4,85658.94%2,98436.22%3994.84%1,87222.72%8,239Montgomery7,17467.88%2,53323.97%8628.16%4,64143.91%10,569Morgan13,35174.10%3,68720.46%9805.44%9,66453.64%18,018Tippecanoe20,57257.80%13,15236.95%1,8665.24%7,42020.85%35,590White4,08066.94%1,61126.43%4046.63%2,46940.51%6,095
District 5
Republican Dan Burton has represented this district since 2003. John McCain carried 59% of the vote in 2008.
Former Republican candidate Brose McVey, Indiana Republican Party Executive Director Luke Messer, State Representative Mike Murphy, and 2008 primary challenger John McGoff all formally announced their intention to run. Burton won the primary with just 30% of the vote. He faced Democrat Tim Crawford in the general election.
Republican primary polling Poll Source Dates Administered Dan Burton Luke Messer Brose McVey John McGoff Mike Murphy Andy Lyons Undecided Public Opinion Strategies (Link) March 5, 2010 43% 9% 8% 8% 4% 2% 26%
Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report November 1, 2010 Rothenberg November 1, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ball November 1, 2010RCP November 1, 2010CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010New York Times November 1, 2010FiveThirtyEight November 1, 2010
Results
By county Source
County Dan BurtonRepublican Tim CrawfordDemocratic Richard ReidLibertarian Jesse C. TruebloodIndependent Margin Total Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %Grant9,88061.81%4,83930.27%7944.97%4712.95%5,04131.54%15,984Hamilton50,91063.44%17,61621.95%7,5849.45%4,1435.16%33,29441.49%80,253Hancock14,05362.22%5,45424.15%1,8318.11%1,2495.53%8,59938.07%22,587Howard10,94962.98%4,85927.95%7134.10%8644.97%6,09035.03%17,385Huntington7,99471.70%2,19819.71%4464.00%5124.59%5,79651.98%11,150Johnson1,39567.13%42120.26%1266.06%1366.54%97446.87%2,078Marion30,96857.03%16,28830.00%4,8538.94%2,1914.03%14,68027.03%54,300Miami5,40061.94%2,20225.26%5786.63%5386.17%3,19836.68%8,718Shelby5,87463.84%2,37025.76%5485.96%4094.45%3,50438.08%9,201Tipton3,62562.04%1,59727.33%3145.37%3075.25%2,02834.71%5,843Wabash5,85165.68%2,18024.47%4795.38%3984.47%3,67141.21%8,908
District 6
Republican Mike Pence represented this district since 2003. In the 2008 presidential election, Republican nominee McCain carried the district with 52% of the vote. Pence faced Democratic nominee Barry Welsh, a minister, and defeated him to keep his seat.
Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report November 1, 2010 Rothenberg November 1, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ball November 1, 2010RCP November 1, 2010CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010New York Times November 1, 2010FiveThirtyEight November 1, 2010
Results
By county Source