Opinion polling for the 2009 Norwegian parliamentary election

Poll results for the Norwegian parliamentary elections that were held in Norway on 13–14 September 2009. The results are shown in chronological order, with the oldest poll at the top of the list and the newest poll at the bottom of the list.

Poll results Polling FirmDateSourceFrPDNAHKrFSVSpVOthersNorstat2008-0424.7%29.4%16.9%7.1%5.9%5.3%8.4%2.3%Response Analyse2008-0425.3%31.6%15.7%5.7%7.5%5.5%6.4%2.3%TNS Gallup2008-0423.5%31.6%18.2%6.9%6.4%5.2%4.9%3.3%Norstat2008-0530.8%26.6%17.0%6.3%6.9%6.3%5.3%0.8%Response Analyse2008-0524.8%28.8%19.0%6.8%7.0%4.7%7.0%1.9%TNS Gallup2008-0526.5%26.3%18.4%6.0%8.3%4.7%6.6%3.2%Sentio-Norsk Statistikk2008-0629.3%23.9%17.9%6.7%7.1%5.2%5.2%4.7%Norstat2008-0630.6%26.0%15.8%6.3%6.7%6.3%5.3%3.0%Response Analyse2008-0630.7%26.4%17.8%4.7%6.5%5.3%5.6%3.0%TNS Gallup2008-0628.3%30.3%16.5%7.7%6.1%3.4%5.2%2.5%Norstat2008-0730.7%28.1%16.1%5.6%5.7%4.5%5.6%3.7%Norstat2008-0832.1%26.2%16.2%5.8%7.0%5.0%5.1%2.6%TNS Gallup2008-0830.4%29.2%15.4%4.8%5.7%4.2%6.3%4.0%Norstat2008-0930.7%29.3%13.8%6.5%6.0%5.5%5.4%2.8%Response Analyse2008-0931.7%27.9%14.6%5.8%6.1%5.6%5.9%2.4%Norstat2008-1026.3%32.2%15.2%5.7%7.5%4.5%5.9%2.8%Norstat2008-1127.5%31.1%14.5%6.6%8.5%4.8%5.5%1.5%TNS Gallup2008-1221.6%32.4%16.7%5.4%7.9%6.1%5.8%4.1%Response Analyse2008-1221.5%32.5%18.2%6.7%7.2%5.9%6.1%0.9%Opinion2008-1225.1%27.5%19.1%6.2%7.5%5.4%5.1%4.1%Norstat2008-1225.7%30.7%17.1%6.1%8.1%5.3%5.1%1.2%Sentio2008-1224.0%29.9%16.8%6.2%8.5%5.9%5.8%1.4%Opinion2009-0128.6%28.7%15.2%5.6%8.1%6.0%5.1%2.6%Sentio2009-0124.5%36.5%13.9%5.9%6.8%5.3%4.5%2.4%Synovate2009-0119.5%34.5%16.6%5.2%9.2%5.5%5.4%4.1%Norstat2009-0221.6%35.4%15.8%5.2%6.8%5.5%6.6%3.0%Synovate2009-0220.8%35.1%15.6%5.9%8.4%4.7%6.8%2.8%Norstat2009-0229.4%33.0%12.6%5.2%7.1%6.5%5.9%2.5%In fact2009-0327.2%32.2%13.2%6.5%6.9%6.6%5.0%2.4%Norfakta2009-0328.0%31.0%14.7%6.9%6.9%4.6%4.7%3.8%Norstat2009-0330.1%31.3%14.1%5.7%6.6%5.0%5.3%1.9%Norstat2009-0329.7%31.7%13.3%7.3%6.9%5.0%3.7%2.3%Opinion2009-0330.9%28.4%13.2%5.6%6.4%6.8%6.1%2.6%Response Analyse2009-0325.4%32.8%14.2%6.1%6.0%5.9%6.5%3.2%Sentio2009-0326.9%32.9%14.7%6.5%6.1%5.7%4.5%2.7%Synovate2009-0323.7%36.2%11.5%4.7%9.9%5.5%5.0%3.4%TNB2009-0327.4%32.4%13.9%6.1%7.0%5.6%5.0%2.7%TNS Gallup/TV22009-0324.7%35.5%15.6%5.2%7.0%5.1%4.5%2.6%Sentio/BT2009-04-0229.6%31.5%13.3%5.9%7.1%5.3%4.7%2.6%TNS Gallup/TV22009-04-0226.0%35.7%12.6%5.1%7.7%5.9%3.4%3.5%Norstat/NRK2009-04-0926.4%31.7%13.7%7.2%7.0%6.8%4.6%2.7%In fact/VG2009-04-1725.8%29.1%17.6%6.0%7.2%5.1%5.2%4.0%Sentio/DN2009-04-1728.4%29.7%13.9%9.0%5.7%5.3%5.0%3.0%Norfakta/Nationen/Klassekampen2009-04-1827.7%33.6%14.1%6.6%5.5%4.7%5.3%2.5%Opinion/ANB2009-04-2328.5%29.1%13.9%7.6%5.9%5.8%6.2%3.0%Opinion/ANB2009-04-2330.3%34.5%10.8%4.8%6.5%6.5%4.2%2.3%Synovate/Dagbladet2009-04-2525.2%35.2%14.0%7.3%6.4%6.0%3.9%2.1%TNS Gallup/TV22009-05-0424.2%33.0%14.3%5.3%8.9%4.2%5.9%4.2%Norstat/NRK2009-05-0727.7%34.1%11.9%6.5%6.7%5.8%5.9%1.5%Norfakta/Nationen/Klassekampen2009-05-0926.9%31.1%13.9%6.5%8.2%6.1%4.8%3.3%Opinion/ANB2009-05-1428.5%29.0%13.0%5.9%7.1%4.3%8.7%3.3%Sentio/DN2009-05-1530.3%31.5%13.2%5.8%6.3%4.0%5.8%3.0%Response/Aftenposten2009-05-1524.0%35.8%15.3%5.3%5.8%4.7%5.9%3.2%Response/VG2009-05-1525.9%33.3%15.9%6.5%6.0%6.0%3.7%2.5%Response/Aftenposten2009-06-1226.1%35.4%13.5%5.8%5.5%4.3%5.6%3.8%Sentio/DN2009-06-1329.3%23.9%17.9%6.5%7.1%5.2%5.2%4.9%Norstat/Vårt Land2009-06-26 28.6%29.4%13.4%5.7%8.3%6.3%5.9%2.4%Norfakta2009-07-0629.8%32.6%13.0%5.7%6.7%5.3%4.6%2.4%

Average polling The following table gives the average of 10 monthly opinion polls (9 before December 2008 - Synovate, Opinion, Gallup, Sentio BT, Sentio DN, Norstat NRK, Norstat VL, Response, In fact and, from December 2008, Norfakta).TV2, Partibarometeret in Norwegian PartyResult, Parliam. election 2005Result, County elections 2007Aug 2008Sep 2008Oct 2008Nov 2008Dec 2008Jan 2009Feb 2009Mar 2009Apr 2009May 2009Jun 2009Jul 2009Aug 2009Labour32.7%30.8%26.5%29.0%30.6%31.4%30.7%33.9%34.2%32.8%32.5%32.9%32.9%33.1%32.4%Progress22.1%18.5%30.8%29.6%26.5%24.2%23.7%23.2%24.1%27.3%27.0%26.4%26.0%28.2%25.7%Conservative14.1%18.8%16.3%15.4%16.1%15.9%17.4%16.1%15.1%13.8%13.9%13.8%13.5%12.9%13.8%Socialist Left8.8%6.5%6.7%6.5%7.3%7.7%7.8%7.5%7.1%7.0%7.1%7.5%7.3%7.2%8.1%Christian Democratic6.8%6.7%5.5%5.6%5.6%6.6%6.3%6.0%6.0%6.2%6.0%6.0%5.8%5.9%6.1%Centre6.5%7.8%5.2%5.0%5.3%5.5%5.7%5.5%4.9%5.5%5.8%5.0%5.8%5.1%5.6%Liberal5.9%5.6%6.1%5.8%5.6%5.7%5.5%4.8%6.0%5.0%4.9%5.4%5.6%4.8%5.2%Red1.2%2.1%1.7%1.6%1.4%1.6%1.6%1.6%1.5%1.2%1.3%1.5%1.5%1.6%1.6%Others1.9%3.2%0.1%1.4%0.2%1.2%1.4%1.0%1.1%1.4%1.5%1.3%1.4%1.1%1.6%

The following table gives the average of poll results through the electoral campaign, the last six weeks before the election. The biggest surprise was the successful campaign of the Conservative Party, which saw a great increase in its poll results at the cost of the Progress Party, up until the election day.Sør-Trøndelag og Trondheim Høyre, "Historisk Høyre-valgkamp"

PartyWeek 32Week 33Week 34Week 35Week 36Week 37Labour32.7%31.9%32.1%33.0%32.0%33.4%Progress26.2%26.4%26.5%23.7%23.7%23.0%Conservative13.2%14.3%13.6%14.8%14.9%16.1%Socialist Left7.2%7.1%7.3%8.5%7.5%7.0%Christian Democratic6.4%6.1%6.0%5.9%6.5%6.7%Centre6.5%5.9%5.8%5.8%6.5%5.8%Liberal4.9%5.2%5.7%4.9%5.6%5.2%Red1.2%1.7%1.6%2.0%1.8%1.8%

NRK polling Polls During the CampaignPolling firmMonthLab.Pro.Con.Soc.Cen.Chr.Lib.RedNorstat NRK August 2008 26% 30.6% 15.8% 6.7% 6.3% 6.3% 5.3% 1.7%Norstat NRK September 29.5% 29.2% 13.3% 8.4% 5.3% 5.8% 4.5% 1.3%Norstat NRK October 32.5% 26.3% 15.2% 7.5% 4.5% 5.7% 5.9% 1.5%Norstat NRK November 31.1% 27.5% 14.5% 8.5% 4.8% 6.6% 5.5% 0.8%Norstat NRK December 30.7% 25.9% 17.1% 8.1% 5.3% 6.1% 5.1% 1.2% Norstat NRK January 2009 33.2% 24.4% 17.6% 6.6% 4.8% 7.1% 4.2% 0.7% Norstat NRK February 35.4% 21.6% 15.8% 6.8% 5.5% 5.2% 6.6% 1.3% Norstat NRK March 31.3% 30.1% 14.1% 6.6% 5% 5.7% 5.3% 0.8% Norstat NRK April 31.7% 26.4% 13.7% 7% 6.8% 7.2% 4.6% 1% Norstat NRK May 34.1% 27.7% 11.9% 6.7% 5.8% 6.5% 5.9% 0.2% Norstat NRK June 33% 29.7% 12% 7.1% 4.9% 6.1% 4.2% 0.8% Norstat NRK July 33.2% 28.1% 11.3% 7.1% 6% 6.6% 4.9% 1.2% Norstat NRK August 33% 25.1% 13.6% 7.1% 6% 6.6% 4.9% 0.8% Norstat NRK September (9) 35% 24% 13.1% 5.8% 6.2% 6.9% 6% 2.1% Synovate NRK September (10) 33.8% 21.4% 14.5% 9.1% 5.9% 6.9% 4.7% 2.3% Results Election day 35.4% 22.9% 17.2% 6.2% 6.2% 5.5% 3.9% 1.3%

References