2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

The 2010 congressional elections in Kentucky were held on November 2, 2010, and determined who would represent the Commonwealth of Kentucky in the United States House of Representatives. Kentucky has six seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the elected served in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013. As of 2021, this is the last time the Democrats won more than one congressional district in Kentucky.

Overview United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky, 2010PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/– Republican 844,369 62.35% 4 — Democratic 506,319 37.39% 2 — Libertarian 2,029 0.15% 0 — Independents 1,581 0.12% 0 — Totals 1,354,298 100.00% 6 —

By district Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky by district:

DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %District 1 153,840 73.12% 62,090 26.88% 0 0.00% 215,930 100.0% Republican holdDistrict 2 155,906 69.19% 73,749 30.81% 0 0.00% 229,655 100.0% Republican holdDistrict 3 112,627 44.01% 139,940 54.68% 3,363 1.31% 255,930 100.0% Democratic holdDistrict 4 151,813 69.48% 66,694 30.52% 0 0.00% 218,507 100.0% Republican holdDistrict 5 151,019 77.42% 44,034 22.58% 0 0.00% 195,053 100.0% Republican holdDistrict 6 119,164 49.81% 119,812 50.08% 247 0.01% 239,223 100.0% Democratic holdTotal 844,369 62.35% 506,319 37.38% 3,610 0.27% 1,354,298 100.0%

District 1

Running for his ninth term in this conservative"Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 111th Congress." The Cook Political Report. N.p., n.d. Web. 19 June 2011. <http://www.cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/pvistate.pdf> . district based in western Kentucky, incumbent Republican Congressman Ed Whitfield faced a trivial challenge from Democratic candidate Charles Hatchett. As expected, Congressman Whitfield was overwhelmingly re-elected to another term in Congress.

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report November 1, 2010 Rothenberg November 1, 2010 Sabato's Crystal BallCrystal Ball, November 1, 2010RCPRealClearPolitics, November 1, 2010CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010New York Times November 1, 2010FiveThirtyEight November 1, 2010

Results

District 2

Though incumbent Republican Congressman Brett Guthrie was elected by a slim margin in 2008, he did not face a serious challenge in his bid for a second term from Democratic candidate Ed Marksberry. As was expected, Congressman Guthrie was re-elected in a landslide in this conservative district based in west-central Kentucky.

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report November 1, 2010 Rothenberg November 1, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ball November 1, 2010RCP November 1, 2010CQ PoliticsOctober 28, 2010New York Times November 1, 2010FiveThirtyEight November 1, 2010

Results

District 3

Campaign Two-term Democratic incumbent Congressman John Yarmuth has represented this liberal-leaning district based in metro Louisville since he was first elected in 2006. Yarmuth defeated Republican Congresswoman Anne Northup in 2006, and defeated her again in a rematch in 2008, but she declined to run again in 2010. Instead, Congressman Yarmuth faced Republican candidate Todd Lally, an airline pilot and a failed State House candidate.

Lally attacked Yarmuth for being a "liberal follower" of Nancy Pelosi who voted with her "San Francisco agenda 99 percent of the time," charges that Yarmuth called "ignorant and irresponsible." The Courier-Journal, the largest newspaper in the district, strongly endorsed Congressman Yarmuth in his bid for re-election, and in the end, Yarmuth was able to best Lally by a surprisingly wide margin.

Polling Poll source Dates administered JohnYarmuth (D) ToddLally (R) UndecidedSurveyUSASurveyUSA October 21–25, 2010 50% 46% 1%Rivercity Polling October 19–23, 2010 41% 37% -Braun ResearchBraun Research October 18–19, 2010 57.9% 31.4% 2.6%Braun ResearchBraun Research September 20–21, 2010 53% 30% 12%Survey USASurvey USA August 27–30, 2010 47% 45% 5%Braun ResearchBraun Research August 9–10, 2010 52% 29% 17%Rivercity PollingRivercity Polling June 20–29, 2010 44% 43% -Cooper & Secrest AssociatesCooper & Secrest Associates June 21–23, 2010 58% 32% -

Results

District 4

Campaign This conservative district based in northern Kentucky, including some of metropolitan Cincinnati, has been represented by Republican Congressman Geoff Davis since he was first elected in 2004. Seeking a fourth term, Congressman Davis faced Democratic candidate John Waltz, an Iraq War veteran in the general election, who was not given much of a chance given the conservative nature of the district. As expected, Davis was overwhelmingly re-elected.

Results

District 5

Campaign Republican Congressman Hal Rogers, the dean of the Kentucky congressional delegation, has represented this conservative district based in eastern Kentucky, faced Democratic candidate Jim Holbert in his bid for a sixteenth term. Holbert had previously run against Congressman Rogers in 2008 as an independent candidate. However, Holbert was defeated by Rogers in a landslide for the second time in the general election.

Results

District 6

Campaign This conservative district based around the Lexington metropolitan area had been represented by incumbent Democratic Congressman Ben Chandler since he was first elected in a 2004 special election. In 2010, Chandler faced a serious threat to bid for a fifth term in Congress from Republican attorney Andy Barr.

In the general election, both candidates started releasing television ads in August 2010, with Barr attacking Chandler for being part of "politics as usual" while Chandler countered by proclaiming his independence, saying, "If the Republican Party is going to suggest that I'm a tool of somebody else, there is no basis in fact for that." As election day grew nearer, both sides ramped up attacks, with the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee releasing an ads slamming Barr for his criminal record and plans to privatize Social Security. Barr, meanwhile, attacked Chandler for supporting gun control, even though Chandler was endorsed in his bid for re-election by the National Rifle Association of America. Polls predicted a tight race, and on election night, those polls were vindicated; no media organization called the race that night because Chandler led Barr by only a few hundred votes. It was only a few days later that Chandler was proclaimed the winner. Chandler was defeated for re-election in 2012 in a rematch with Barr.

Polling Poll source Dates administered BenChandler (D) AndyBarr (R) UndecidedBraun ResearchBraun Research October 20–21, 2010 46.6% 42.3% 11%Mason-DixonMason-Dixon October 15–19, 2010 48% 44% 8%Tarrance Group October 4–5, 2010 47% 48% -Mellman Group September 29–30, 2010 52% 40% -Braun ResearchBraun Research September 21–22, 2010 50.7% 36.5% 12.5%Tarrance GroupTarrance Group September 20–21, 2010 49% 42% 9%Mellman GroupMellman Group September 13–14, 2010 53% 33% 14%Grove InsightGrove Insight September 7–9, 2010 52% 38% -Braun ResearchBraun Research July 26–27, 2010 46.1% 32.2% 21%Tarrance GroupTarrance Group May 24–25, 2010 45% 38% 17%

Results

References

External links Kentucky State Board of Elections U.S. Congress Candidates for Kentucky at Project Vote Smart

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky

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