This article provides a collection of opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2009 Israeli legislative election.
Notes Israeli law requires a 2% threshold (yielding a minimum of two seats) for a party to be seated in the Knesset. Therefore, surveys that poll only one seat for a party reveal limited support that would not actually result in their seating. Where contradictions in sources are found, the table lists the result from the original source, where available, or the majority of other sources. These are noted and referenced below. The three main Arab parties (United Arab List-Ta'al, Hadash, and Balad) are grouped together when no source reveals how they were polled separately. On December 22, 2008, the Israeli Elections Committee delivered a court order mandating that media list these parties by name. In December 2008, the National Union was reconstituted as a separate party from The Jewish Home. Prior to then, surveys polled these groups collectively.
Polling Date Media Pollster Kadima Labor Shas Likud Yisrael Beiteinu UAL-Ta'al Hadash Balad Jewish Home National Union Gil UTJ Meretz Greens Other Sources Final Results 28 13 11 27 15 4 4 3 3 4 — 5 3 — Channel 1 Midgam Research 23 16 10 28 19 4 4 2 3 3 0 5 5 0 Channel 10 Dialog 25 14 9 27 19 3 3 2 2 4 0 6 6 0 Haaretz Dialog 25 14 9 27 18 3 3 2 2 4 0 6 7 0 The Jerusalem Post Smith 23 15-16 10 26 17-18 3-4 4 2-4 3-4 3-4 0 5 5 0 Maariv TNS Teleseker 23 17 10 26 19 4 4 2 3 3 2 5 6 0 Yedioth Ahronoth Dahaf 23 16 10 25 19 3 4 2 3 4 0 6 5 0 Channel 2 Panels 25 14 10 26 18 3 4 2 3 4 0 5 6 0 Globes Geocartography 22-23 15-16 10 26 20-21 3 5 0 2 6 0 5 5 0 Israel Hayom Gal Hadash (New Wave) 24 16 9 30 17 3 5 0 2 3 0 5 6 0 Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) Shvakim Panorama 21 16 11 25 16 3 4 2 4 4 2 7 5 0 Makor Rishon Maagar Mochot 24 13 10 27 18 9 3 2 1 6 5 1 Meimad 1 Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" Maagar Mochot 23 13 10 26 19 2 4 3 3 2 1 6 6 1 Ale Yarok 1 Maariv TNS Teleseker 23 17 10 27 17 4 4 0 3 4 2 5 6 0 Maagar Mochot 23 12-13 10-11 30-31 17-18 10 3 2 0 6 4 1 Globes Geocartography 21 17 11 24-25 17 2 2 2 2 6 2 5 8-9 0 Channel 1 Midgam Research 23 17 10 28 18 2 4 2 4 3 0 5 4 0 Channel 2 Panels 24 14 11 27 17 4 3 2 3 4 0 5 6 0 Maariv TNS Teleseker 23 17 10 28 16 4 4 0 4 3 0 5 6 0 Channel 2 Panels 23 13 10 29 16 4 4 2 3 4 0 5 5 2 Globes Geocartography 23 15 10 31 16 0 4 0 3 5 0 6 7 0 Haaretz/Channel 10 Dialog 25 14 10 28 15 4 3 2 3 4 2 5 5 0 Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) Shvakim Panorama 20 16 11 29 16 3 3 3 3 3 2 7 4 0 Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" Maagar Mochot 22 13 10 34 16 3 4 3 3 2 0 5 5 0 Channel 2 Panels 22 15 11 29 16 4 4 2 0 5 0 6 6 0 Channel 1 Midgam Research 22 17 10 30 16 3 3 3 3 3 0 5 5 0 Channel 1's Friday Diary Shvakim Panorama 20 17 11 29 14 3 3 4 3 3 0 7 6 0 Maariv TNS Teleseker 24 16 9 28 16 3 4 2 4 2 0 6 6 0 Yedioth Ahronoth Dahaf 25 17IsraelNationalNews.com reports that this survey polled 19 Labor seats, but is contradicted by every other source. 10 29 14 3 4 2 2 3 0 6 5 0 Channel 2 Panels 24 15 10 30 15 4 3 2 2 4 0 5 6 0 Globes Geocartography 21 15 9 32 16 4 3 3 4 3 0 5 5 0 Israel Hayom Gal Hadash (New Wave) 25 15 9 35 12 3 4 2 2 2 0 5 6 0 Channel 1 Geocartography 21 15 9 33 13 4 3 3 4 3 0 7 5 0 Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" Maagar Mochot 22 14 11 30 16 2 4 3 2 2 0 5 7 0 Meimad 1, Ale Yarok 1 Channel 2 Panels 24 14 10 30 15 3 4 2 2 4 0 5 5 2 Channel 2 Maagar Mochot 23 15 12 31 13 3 4 2 3 1 1 5 6 1 Channel 10 Dialog 26 14 10 29 14 3 3 2 2 4 0 5 6 2 Haaretz Dialog 25 16 9 29 12 3 3 2 3 3 0 6 7 2 Maariv TNS Teleseker 26 17 9 28 14 4 4 2 3 3 0 5 5 0 Channel 2 Panels 27 15 8 29 13 3 4 3 2 4 0 5 5 2 Globes Geocartography 22 16 10 33 14 3 3 4 3 0 0 7 5 0 Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) Shvakim Panorama 21 15 10 28 15 4 3 3 3 3 0 7 5 3 Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" Maagar Mochot 26 16 10 28 14 3 4 3 3 2 0 5 6 0 Channel 2 Panels 28 13 8 33 13 2 4 3 0 4 0 5 5 2 Channel 1's Friday Diary Shvakim Panorama 22 16 10 31 14 10 4 0 0 7 6 0 Maariv TNS Teleseker 27 17 9 29 13 10 4 0 0 6 5 0 Knesset Channel Panels 27 15 9 31 12 0 4 3 2 4 0 4 5 2 Israel Hayom Gal Hadash (New Wave) 27 15 10 33 10 2 4 4 0 3 0 5 7 0 Channel 10 Dialog 27 16 11 31 10 3Bhirot 2009 reports that this survey polled a total of 10 Arab party seats, but is contradicted by the original source. 3 0 2Bhirot 2009 reports no seats for Jewish Home, but is contradicted by the original source. 3 0 5 7 0 Radius Radio 100FM Geocartography 27 12 7 33 11 10 5 3 0 4 6 2 Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" Maagar Mochot 25 17 10 32 10 9 4 2 0 5 6 0 Channel 2 Panels 28 15 9 31 13 4 3 2 2 4 0 4 5 0 The Jerusalem Post Smith 29 15 10 23 12 10 5 2 0 6 6 2 Maariv TNS Teleseker 28 16 11 28 12 10 4 0 0 5 6 0 Channel 2 Panels 27 14 8 30 11 10 3 3 0 6 7 1 Globes Geocartography 22 12 8 38 15 10 3 0 0 4 6 2 Haaretz Dialog 27 16 9 32 11 4Reuters reports that this survey polled a total of 8 Arab party seats, but is contradicted by every other source. 4 2 3 0 0 5 7 0 Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" Maagar Mochot 25 15 10 31 10 10 4 1 2 5 5 2 Channel 2 Panels 29 14 8 29 13 10 3 3 0 4 7 0 Haaretz/Channel 10 DialogThe Independent Media Review Analysis reports that this survey was polled by Maagar Mochot, but is contradicted by the original and every other source. 28 16 10 30 10 3 4 3 2 1 5 7 1 Maariv TNS Teleseker 30 11 10 29 12 10 3 2 5 7 0 Channel 2 Panels 27 11 10 30 10 3 4 3 6 0 4 7 2 Hatikva 3 Haaretz Dialog 26 11 13 30 11 3 3 2 6 2 5 8 0 Yedioth Ahronoth Dahaf 26 12 10 30 12 9 5 0 6 7 3 Channel 1 Midgam Research 25 11 10 31 12 10 5 0 7 6 3 Channel 2 Maagar Mochot 25 10 12 29 12 3 4 2 4 1 6 8 4 Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) Shvakim Panorama 23 14 12 32 12 10 4 0 7 6 0 Radius Radio 100FM Geocartography 23 9 9 35 11 10 5 0 5 10 3 Channel 1 Geocartography 26 9-10 8-9 34 10 4 3 3 6 0 6 9 0-2 Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" Maagar Mochot 25 11 12 31 13 9 5 2 5 6 1 Channel 2 Panels 29 10 10 28 11 10 5 0 5 6 3 Hatikva 3 Maariv TNS Teleseker 30 12 9 30 12 4 3 3 5 0 5 7 0 Channel 2 Panels 30 10 10 29 11 9 6 0 6 6 3 Channel 2's "Mishal Cham" Maagar Mochot 25 10 12 29 12 9 4 1 6 8 4 Channel 2 Panels 27 13 11 31 10 10 5 0 5 6 2 Maariv TNS Teleseker 28 12 9 31 11 10 6 0 5 5 3 Haaretz Dialog 27 12 9 36 9 4 4 3The Independent Media Review Analysis reports that "the Arabs were not polled because it is a Moslem holiday - their results were assumed to be unchanged from previous poll." (41740, 41770) 4 0 6 6 0 Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) Shvakim Panorama 20-21 14-15 12 34-35 11 9-10 4 0 7 6 0 Yedioth Ahronoth Dahaf 24 11 11 31 10 10 6 0 7 7 3 Knesset Channel Panels 27 7 11 34 10 10 6 0 5 7 3 Channel 2 Panels 25 6 12 33 11 10 7 0 5 7 4 Israel Hayom Gal Hadash (New Wave) 26 8 10 35 10 10 5 2 5 7 2 Knesset Channel Panels 26 7 10 35 9 10 6 0 6 8 3 Channel 1 Geocartography 25 7 11 37 8 9 4 0 8 8 3 Haaretz Dialog 28 10 10 34 10 4 5 2 4 0 6 7 0 Yedioth Ahronoth Dahaf 26 8 11 32 9 11 6 0 7 7 3 Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) Maagar Mochot 23 8 13 34 10 9 7 0 5 10 1 Israel Hayom Gal Hadash (New Wave) 28 11 10 33 7 10 6 0 5 7 3 The Jerusalem Post Smith 27 14 11 27 11 10 9 0 6 5 0 Haaretz Dialog 31 10 10 31 11 2 6 3 3 0 6 5 2 Israel Hayom Gal Hadash (New Wave) 30 13 10 31 8 10 6 0 5 5 2 Israel Radio's "Hakol Diburim" (It's All Talk) Shvakim Panorama 22-23 16-17 11-12 25-26 10-11 9-10 7-8 1-2 6-7 5-6 2-3 Channel 1 Geocartography 32 10 9 28 9 10 Maariv TNS Teleseker 31 11 8 29 11 11 7 0 4 5 3 Yedioth AhronothIsraelNationalNews.com reports that this survey was conducted by Maariv, but is contradicted by the original and every other source. Dahaf 29 11 11 26 9 4 3 3 7 2 7 6 2 Maariv TNS Teleseker 25 14 9 29 12 10 8 0 5 4 2 Social Justice 2 Maariv TNS Teleseker 23 12 9 31 12 10 8 0 6 5 0 Social Justice 4 Haaretz Dialog 26 14 11 25 11 11 6 0 7 5 2 Social Justice 2 Maariv TNS Teleseker 20 17 9 33 12 10 6 0 4 4 0 Social Justice 5 Yedioth Ahronoth Dahaf 29 14 10 30 8 10 6 0 6 5 0 Social Justice 2 Current Composition 29 19 12 12 11 4 3 3 3 6 7 6 5 0 Date Media Pollster Kadima Labor Shas Likud Yisrael Beiteinu UAL-Ta'al Hadash Balad Jewish Home National Union Gil UTJ Meretz Greens Other Sources
References