2010 United States Senate election in Missouri

The 2010 United States Senate election in Missouri took place on November 2, 2010, alongside 36 other elections to the United States Senate in other states, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held on August 3, 2010. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Kit Bond decided to retire instead of seeking a fifth term. Republican nominee Roy Blunt won the open seat.Missouri election results 2010: Robin Carnahan defeated by Roy Blunt, Washington Post, 2 November 2010

Republican primary

Candidates Roy Blunt, U.S. representative since 1997 Davis Conway Tony Laszacs Hector Maldonado, sales representative Kristi Nichols, sales manager, activist, perennial candidate R.L. Praprotnik Chuck Purgason, state senator Deborah Solomon Mike Vontz

Polling Poll source Dates administered Roy Blunt Chuck Purgason UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling November 13–15, 2009 53% 16% 31%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling March 27–28, 2010 48% 18% 34%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates Robin Carnahan, Missouri Secretary of State, daughter of former U.S. Senator Jean Carnahan and former governor Mel Carnahan Richard Charles Tolbert Francis Vangeli

Results

Other primaries Constitution Candidates Declared Jerry Beck Joe Martellaro Mike Simmons

Libertarian Candidates Declared Jonathan Dine Cisse Spragins

General election

Candidates Jerry Beck (C) Roy Blunt (R), U.S. representative Robin Carnahan (D), Missouri secretary of state Jonathan Dine (L) Mark S. Memoly (write-in) Frazier Glenn Miller (write-in), perennial candidate Jeff Wirick (write-in) Richie L. Wolfe (write-in)

Campaign Carnahan and national Democrats heavily criticized Blunt for his support of bailouts, calling him "Bailout Blunt." Blunt criticized her for supporting President Obama's stimulus package, the cap-and-trade energy bill, and the Affordable Care Act.Blunt's 2nd ad attacks Carnahan on Obama event

Carnahan was endorsed by the Kansas City Star,Recommendations for Missouri’s top races, editorial board, Kansas City Star, October 24, 2010 St. Louis Post-Dispatch,Carnahan for Senate: Part of the solution, not the problem, editorial board, St. Louis Post-Dispatch, October 22, 2010 and St. Louis American.American endorses Robin Carnahan and Barbara Fraser, editorial board, St. Louis American, October 21, 2010

Blunt was endorsed by the Quincy Herald-WhigRoy Blunt for Senate and St. Joseph News-Press.Roy Blunt for Senate

Debates October 14: Televised on Kansas City Public Television in Kansas City, Missouri. October 18: Missouri Press Association convention in Lake of the Ozarks State Park.Senate candidate heavyweights debate at lake - Camdenton, MO - Serving Missouri's Lake of the Ozarks region including Osage Beach, Camdenton, Lake Ozark, Eldon and Sunrise Bea... October 29: Televised on KTVI in St. Louis.Blunt and Carnahan Fire Up Supporters – KTVI

Predictions Source Ranking As of Cook Political Report October 26, 2010 Rothenberg October 22, 2010 RealClearPolitics October 26, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ball October 21, 2010 CQ Politics October 26, 2010

Polling Poll source Roy Blunt (R) Robin Carnahan (D) Other UndecidedPublic Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling January 10–11, 2009 867 ± 3.3% 44% 45% –– 11%Wilson Strategies (R)Wilson Strategies (R) March 7–9, 2009 600 ± 4.0% 44% 47% –– 9%Democracy Corps (D)Democracy Corps (D) April 28–30, 2009 800 ± 3.5% 44% 53% –– 3%Momentum Analysis (D)Momentum Analysis (D) September 19, 2009 802 ± 3.5% 45% 48% –– 7%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports September 21, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 46% 46% 2% 5%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling November 13–15, 2009 763 ± 3.6% 42% 43% –– 15%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports December 15, 2009 500 ± 4.5% 44% 46% 4% 6%YouGovPolimetrixYouGovPolimetrix January 6–11, 2010 500 –– 39% 43% –– 19%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports January 19, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 49% 43% 3% 5%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports February 10, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 49% 42% 3% 6%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports March 9, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 47% 41% 4% 8%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling March 27–28, 2010 495 ± 4.4% 45% 41% –– 13%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports April 6, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 48% 42% 3% 7%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports May 3, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 50% 42% 4% 4%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports June 2, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 45% 44% 4% 6%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports June 28, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 48% 43% 3% 6%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports July 13, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 47% 45% 2% 6%Mason DixonMason Dixon July 19–21, 2010 625 ± 4.0% 48% 42% –– 10%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports July 27, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 49% 43% 4% 4%Rasmussen Reports August 10, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 50% 43% 3% 4%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling August 14–15, 2010 –– ± 3.73% 45% 38% 8% 9%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports August 23, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 51% 40% 5% 4%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports September 7, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 53% 43% 2% 2%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports September 21, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 52% 44% 2% 3%Fox News/Pulse Opinion ResearchFox News/Pulse Opinion Research October 2, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 50% 42% 5% 3%CNN/Time/Opinion ResearchCNN/Time/Opinion Research October 1–5, 2010 1,398 ± 2.5% 53% 40% 4% ––Rasmussen Reports October 5, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 51% 43% 3% 2%Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research October 16, 2010 1,000 ± 3.0% 49% 43% 5% 3%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling October 17–18, 2010 646 ± 3.9% 46% 41% 6% 7%Rasmussen Reports October 19, 2010 750 ± 4.0% 52% 43% 4% 3%Mason-DixonMason-Dixon October 18–20, 2010 625 ± 4.0% 49% 40% 3% 8%KSN3/Missouri State UniversityKSN3/Missouri State University October 20–27, 2010 821 ± 3.8% 54% 41% 3% 2%

Fundraising Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt Roy Blunt (R) $8,203,670 $4,537,049 $4,003,030 $0 Robin Carnahan (D) $7,297,929 $3,658,278 $3,639,651 $0 Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

See also United States Senate elections, 2010 Missouri state auditor election, 2010 Missouri Senate elections, 2010

References

External links Elections from the Missouri Secretary of State Official candidate lists U.S. Congress candidates for Missouri at Project Vote Smart Missouri U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com Campaign contributions from Open Secrets graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com Election 2010: Missouri Senate from Rasmussen Reports 2010 Missouri Senate - Blunt vs. Carnahan from Real Clear Politics from CQ Politics Race profile from The New York Times News coverage from The Midwest Democracy Project at The Kansas City Star News coverage at the St. Louis Post-Dispatch Official campaign websites Roy Blunt for U.S. Senate Robin Carnahan for U.S. Senate Jerry Beck for U.S. Senate Cisse Spragins for U.S. Senate Hector Maldonado for U.S. Senate