Opinion polling for the 2008 Russian presidential election

This is a collection of scientific, public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2008 Russian presidential election.

First round

2004–2006 polls Polling firmFieldwork date OtherAgainstallUndecidedWouldn't vote MedvedevUR IvanovUR GryzlovUR LuzhkovUR ShoiguUR ZyuganovCPRF ZhirinovskyLDPR GlazyevIND RogozinRodina KasyanovIND YavlinskyYabloko RyzhkovRPRLevadaRussia votes13–16 Aug 2004 269462315LevadaMay 20057 911957341314VCIOM17–18 Sep 20051448652312159316Levada16–19 Sep 200561010845232162114Levada14–17 Oct 200512845241211–14 Nov 20051594723159–12 Dec 200513847231316–19 Dec 20058179372117Levada20–24 Jan 2006109843121162515Levada2598371510–14 Feb 200625773618Levada10–14 Mar 2006 787843131162617Levada20–25 Apr 2006823783015LevadaApr 200618171618754455Levada19–22 May 2006102577281610–14 Jun 20061121610301714–17 Jul 2006122279261618–21 Aug 20061023810122915–18 Sep 2006142798102613–16 Oct 2006112991082510–13 Nov 20061423989288–12 Dec 2006193056918

2007 polls Polling firmFieldwork date OtherUndecidedUnsureWouldn'tvote MedvedevUR IvanovUR ZubkovUR ShoiguUR ZyuganovCPRF ZhirinovskyLDPR GlazyevIND RogozinINDKasyanovRNDS / INDNemtsovINDBogdanovDPRLevadaJan332114145111 Levada 19–22 Jan1711771028820LevadaFeb32271313528VCIOM 3–4 Feb22654611020241110–11 Feb206555110182711 15 FebSergey Ivanov appointed first deputy premier alongside Dmitry MedvedevVCIOM17–18 Feb2010455100132711 Levada 16–19 Feb191688920421LevadaMar31251514648ROMIRMar1610859127816 Levada 16–19 Mar171476827813LevadaApr29311711526 Levada 13–16 Apr1818910923810ROMIR12–18 Apr168958131616LevadaMay34311213326 Levada 11–14 May15122394468LevadaJun27311414527 Levada 15–18 Jun1719998201011 ROMIR 6–12 Jul1814692248 Levada 13–16 Jul172286522614LevadaAug34361212113 Levada 10–13 Aug1819763231014LevadaSep3034415114<13 14 SepViktor Zubkov replaces Mikhail Fradkov as prime minister Levada 14–17 Sep166?4332811LevadaOct262519121332Levada12–15 Oct55425281014141077326711LevadaNov24252015844Levada9–12 Nov13161196422910 26 NovPresidential election set for 2 March 2008 2 Dec 2007 Russian legislative election: United Russia wins supermajorityLevada7–10 Dec3521171111113 10 DecOutgoing president Putin endorses Dmitry MedvedevFOM15–16 Dec3252457 628 10VCIOM15–16 Dec44.64.64.80.30.5<130.27.8FOM22–23 Dec46 67 11425 9VCIOM22–23 Dec52.3 4.14.8 0.40.40.322.66.8 22 DecCEC denies registration for Vladimir Bukovsky, Nikolai Kuryanovich, other independentsLevada21–24 Dec79992<1<10–3 26 Dec Boris Nemtsov withdraws his candidacy, endorses Kasyanov

2008 polls Polling firmFieldwork date SpoilUndecidedWouldn'tvote MedvedevUR ZyuganovCPRF ZhirinovskyLDPR KasyanovRNDS / IND NemtsovIND BogdanovDPRVCIOM5–6 Jan52.55.44.90.30.40.221.95.912–13 Jan60.46.17.50.90.80.214.010.2 FOM12–13 Jan506702610 Levada 18–21 Jan82 9 8 <1 <1FOM19–20 Jan506700269 VCIOM26–27 Jan63.55.35.50.80.416.87.8 FOM26–27 Jan5457012310 27 Jan Kasyanov's candidacy rejected by the CEC FOM2–3 Feb527701249 Levada 8–11 Feb80 11 9 <1FOM9–10 Feb4998102211VCIOM9–10 Feb62.1 8.3 7.1 0.8 14.4 7.369.9 9.1 7.8 0.9 12.3 FOM16–17 Feb49.69.18.70.60.622.19.367.816.313.71.30.9VCIOM16–17 Feb61.2 9.0 6.8 0.9 13.9 8.270.4 10.3 7.7 1.0 10.6 FOM23–24 Feb50980122107015.812.40.7 24 Feb Last day of opinion polls publicationElection result2 Mar70.2817.729.351.301.36

Polls with Vladimir Putin as a candidate Polling firmFieldwork date No preferenceOtherAgainstallUndecidedUnsureWouldn'tvote MedvedevUR IvanovUR PutinUR ZyuganovCPRF ZhirinovskyLDPRLevada13–16 Aug 2004 49562615812FOM15–16 Jan 200543351161615FOM9–10 Jul 200543441161516Levada15–18 Jul 2005366445102481019–22 Aug 200537434792371326–29 Sep 2005356348822111014–17 Oct 20053543518307811–14 Nov 2005363349102491020–24 Jan 20060333353893110–14 Feb 20061344352792510–13 Mar 2006223133536122720–25 Apr 20062334252783019–22 May 2006223243507112714–17 Jul 200621403346572718–21 Aug 200621403445692215–18 Sep 2006213933485141013–16 Oct 200621375350372910–13 Nov 200621384446411228–12 Dec 20063236225141027 19–22 Jan 2007533452461025810 16–19 Feb 2007533253461125511 16–19 Mar 20076333434792599 13–16 Apr 200764315345625116 11–14 May 20075341334182578 15–18 Jun 20073544433561986 13–16 Jul 20073448433441878 10–13 Aug 200755404241322107 14–17 Sep 2007161835874442777FOM24–25 Nov 2007315734 5 16 10FOM27–28 Nov 2007 FOM11–12 Dec 20073260447128FOM15–16 Dec 20079254455129Levada21–24 Dec 200755424771–5

Preferred United Russia candidate Polling firm Fieldwork date Medvedev IvanovZubkovLevadaJan 20075446Feb 20075248Mar 20074852Apr 20074555May 20075149Jun 200746Aug 20074654Sep 20074159Oct 2007475359415644Nov 2007475357435743Dec 2007564458426337

Exit polls

Agency MedvedevUR ZyuganovCPRF ZhirinovskyLDPR BogdanovDPR FOM67.419.510.5 1.4 VCIOM70.116.811.41.7Election result70.317.79.31.3

Notes

References