2010 Georgia gubernatorial election

The 2010 Georgia gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Republican governor Sonny Perdue was term-limited and unable to seek re-election. Primary elections for the Republican and Democratic parties took place on July 20. Democrats nominated former governor Roy Barnes, and Republicans nominated Representative Nathan Deal following a runoff on August 10. The Libertarian Party also had ballot access and nominated John Monds. Deal won the general election, and took office on January 10, 2011.

, this was the last election in which a candidate won the governorship by double digits. This is the first gubernatorial election in Georgia since 1990 in which the winner was of a different party than the incumbent president. This was the first election in which Republicans won three consecutive gubernatorial elections in the state. This was the last gubernatorial election in which Douglas, Henry, and Newton counties voted for the Republican candidate and the last in which Baker, Early, Mitchell, Peach, Clinch, Brooks, and McIntosh counties voted for the Democratic candidate.

Republican primary Candidates Declared Jeff Chapman, State Senator Nathan Deal, U.S. representative Karen Handel, Secretary of State of Georgia Eric Johnson, former state senator Ray McBerry, candidate for governor in 2006 John Oxendine, insurance commissioner Otis Putnam

Declined Johnny Isakson, incumbent U.S. senator

Polling Primary Poll source Dates administered JohnOxendine KarenHandel NathanDeal EricJohnson RayMcBerry AustinScott JeffChapman UndecidedMagellan StrategiesMagellan Strategies July 18, 2010 12% 38% 20% 17% 3% – 3% 7%InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdvantage July 14, 2010 15% 24% 16% 13% 3% – 6% 22%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports July 13, 2010 20% 25% 25% 13% – – – 14%Mason-DixonMason-Dixon July 8–13, 2010 31% 23% 18% 6% 2% – 1% 19%Magellan StrategiesMagellan Strategies July 8, 2010 18% 32% 18% 8% 3% – 3% 14%Survey USASurvey USA July 7–8, 2010 32% 23% 12% 12% 5% – 4% 10%InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdvantage July 1, 2010 18% 18% 12% 8% 3% – 6% 34%Survey USASurvey USA June 14–17, 2010 34% 18% 17% 6% 3% – 4% 17%InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdvantage April 5, 2010 26% 18% 9% 5% – – – 31%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports December 15, 2009 28% 14% 13% 2% 2% 2% 2% 32%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports October 20, 2009 27% 12% 9% 3% 3% 3% -- 35%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports August 18, 2009 31% 13% 13% 3% 2% -- -- 31%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports June 17, 2009 33% 11% 10% 3% 2% 2% -- 33%Strategic VisionStrategic Vision June 17, 2009 35% 13% 12% 4% 2% 2% -- 32%

Runoff Poll source Dates administered NathanDeal KarenHandelLandmark CommunicationsLandmark Communications August 7, 2010 44% 42%Georgia NewspapersGeorgia Newspapers August 7, 2010 42% 47%Insider AdvantageInsider Advantage August 5, 2010 46% 46%Landmark CommunicationsLandmark Communications August 2, 2010 37% 46%McLaughlin & AssociatesMcLaughlin & Associates July 23, 2010 39% 38%

Results

Democratic primary Candidates Declared Thurbert Baker, Attorney General of Georgia Roy Barnes, former governor of Georgia Bill Bolton Carl Camon Randal Mangham, state representative DuBose Porter, state representative David Poythress, former adjutant general of the Georgia National Guard, former commissioner of labor and candidate for governor in 1998

Polling

Poll source Dates administered RoyBarnes ThurbertBaker DuBosePorter CarlCamon DavidPoythress UndecidedRasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports July 13, 2010 59% 16% 5% -- 5% 12%Mason-Dixon July 8–13, 2010 54% 20% 3% -- 7% 16%Survey USA July 7–8, 2010 56% 18% 6% 3% 5% 9%Survey USA June 14–17, 2010 63% 13% 4% 1% 5% 11%InsiderAdvantageInsiderAdvantage April 7, 2010 47% 18% 5% – 6% 24%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports December 18, 2009 48% 17% 3% 1% 4% 19%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports October 20, 2009 43% 19% 4% 3% 4% 21%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports August 18, 2009 42% 9% 7% 1% 2% 30%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports June 17, 2009 48% 8% 5% 2% 2% 31%Strategic Vision June 17, 2009 49% 30% 2% - 5% 14%

Results

Third party and independent candidates Independent Neal Horsley

Libertarian Party John Monds, president of the Grady County NAACP"John Monds to seek Libertarian nomination for Governor" www.lp.org. Retrieved September 15, 2009.

Write-in Samuel M. "Sam" Hay, III Jacob Perasso (Socialist Workers Party)

General election

Predictions Source Ranking As of Cook Political Report October 14, 2010 Rothenberg October 28, 2010 RealClearPolitics November 1, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ball October 28, 2010 CQ Politics October 28, 2010

Polling Poll source Dates administered NathanDeal (R) RoyBarnes (D) JohnMonds (L) Other UndecidedRasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports October 24, 2010 49% 39% 5% 5% 1%Insider AdvantageInsider Advantage Unavailable 49% 41% 3% -- 7%Rasmussen Reports October 6, 2010 50% 41% 3% 3% 3%Insider AdvantageInsider Advantage September 27, 2010 45% 37% 5% -- 13%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports September 21, 2010 45% 39% 5% 6% 5%Insider AdvantageInsider Advantage September 16, 2010 42% 42% 5% -- 11%Survey USASurvey USA September 10–12, 2010 49% 38% 9% -- 4%Insider AdvantageInsider Advantage August 17, 2010 45% 41% 5% -- 9%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports August 11, 2010 51% 42% -- 3% 3%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports July 21, 2010 49% 43% -- 4% 4%Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports May 20, 2010 47% 40% -- 6% 7%Rasmussen Reports April 22, 2010 46% 39% -- 7% 8%Rasmussen Reports March 17, 2010 43% 41% -- 5% 13%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling February 26–28, 2010 38% 43% -- -- 19%Rasmussen Reports February 18, 2010 43% 37% -- -- --Rasmussen Reports January 20, 2010 42% 43% -- -- --

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic Early (largest city: Blakely) McIntosh (largest municipality: Darien) Peach (largest municipality: Fort Valley) Brooks (largest city: Quitman) Burke (largest municipality: Waynesboro) Chatham (largest city: Savannah) Washington (largest municipality: Sandersville) Sumter (largest city: Americus) Jefferson (largest city: Louisville) Muscogee (largest city: Columbus) Rockdale (largest town: Conyers)

2010 Georgia gubernatorial election

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